ABN AMRO Bank Valuation

Is ABN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABN (€14.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABN?

Key metric: As ABN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABN. This is calculated by dividing ABN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5x
Earnings€2.46b
Market Cap€12.29b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
INGA ING Groep
12.8x9.5%€46.9b
2884 E.SUN Financial Holding Company
16.4x-0.1%NT$437.5b
MB Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario
9.2x3.9%€11.6b
1140 Bank Albilad
17.1x12.2%ر.س44.9b
ABN ABN AMRO Bank
5x-8.6%€12.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ABN 5.0xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5x
Fair PE Ratio5.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.85
€17.72
+19.4%
11.6%€23.00€14.30n/a16
Nov ’25€15.29
€17.62
+15.2%
11.9%€23.00€14.30n/a16
Oct ’25€15.67
€17.76
+13.3%
10.8%€22.00€14.40n/a17
Sep ’25€15.49
€17.76
+14.6%
11.6%€23.00€14.40n/a17
Aug ’25€15.27
€17.65
+15.6%
12.1%€23.00€14.40n/a17
Jul ’25€15.67
€17.67
+12.8%
12.2%€23.00€14.40n/a17
Jun ’25€15.65
€17.58
+12.3%
12.8%€23.00€14.40n/a17
May ’25€15.09
€17.36
+15.1%
13.0%€23.00€14.40n/a18
Apr ’25€15.85
€17.17
+8.3%
12.8%€23.00€14.20n/a18
Mar ’25€15.00
€16.96
+13.1%
13.0%€23.00€13.90n/a19
Feb ’25€13.16
€16.18
+23.0%
14.4%€23.00€13.60n/a20
Jan ’25€13.59
€16.95
+24.7%
13.6%€23.00€14.20n/a20
Dec ’24€12.37
€16.66
+34.7%
11.5%€21.00€14.20n/a20
Nov ’24€12.71
€17.96
+41.3%
13.1%€22.00€14.56€15.2920
Oct ’24€13.44
€18.10
+34.6%
12.8%€22.40€14.07€15.6720
Sep ’24€13.59
€18.30
+34.6%
12.3%€22.40€14.80€15.4921
Aug ’24€15.28
€18.47
+20.9%
13.2%€23.00€14.80€15.2720
Jul ’24€14.23
€18.23
+28.1%
14.5%€22.40€12.50€15.6719
Jun ’24€13.69
€18.23
+33.2%
14.5%€22.40€12.50€15.6519
May ’24€14.52
€18.23
+25.6%
14.5%€23.60€12.50€15.0919
Apr ’24€14.62
€18.19
+24.4%
13.9%€23.80€12.50€15.8519
Mar ’24€16.69
€17.37
+4.1%
17.4%€23.80€11.00€15.0019
Feb ’24€15.06
€15.23
+1.1%
17.7%€20.80€9.50€13.1619
Jan ’24€12.93
€14.08
+8.9%
16.3%€17.20€9.50€13.5918
Dec ’23€12.02
€13.67
+13.8%
16.3%€17.20€9.50€12.3719
Nov ’23€10.00
€13.31
+33.1%
15.9%€16.50€9.50€12.7119

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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