Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario S.p.A.

BIT:MB Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.1b

Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario Valuation

Is MB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MB (€13.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MB is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
BAMI Banco BPM
7.5x-2.4%€9.5b
FBK FinecoBank Banca Fineco
14.3x-0.2%€8.7b
BMPS Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena
2.9x-23.2%€6.0b
BPE BPER Banca
4.6x-12.8%€7.0b
MB Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario
10.3x5.8%€11.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.35
€14.00
+4.9%
10.2%€16.40€10.90n/a14
Apr ’25€13.81
€13.22
-4.3%
11.7%€16.40€9.90n/a14
Mar ’25€12.61
€12.91
+2.4%
9.6%€14.70€9.90n/a13
Feb ’25€12.09
€12.79
+5.8%
9.0%€14.70€9.90n/a13
Jan ’25€11.21
€12.67
+13.1%
8.8%€14.70€9.90n/a13
Dec ’24€10.81
€12.76
+18.1%
8.9%€14.70€9.90n/a13
Nov ’24€11.35
€12.80
+12.8%
9.0%€14.70€9.90n/a13
Oct ’24€12.53
€12.92
+3.1%
7.5%€14.70€11.30n/a13
Sep ’24€12.08
€12.71
+5.2%
7.6%€14.70€11.30n/a13
Aug ’24€11.97
€12.42
+3.7%
8.4%€14.70€10.10n/a13
Jul ’24€10.96
€11.81
+7.7%
9.3%€14.30€10.10n/a13
Jun ’24€10.63
€11.61
+9.3%
9.4%€14.30€10.10n/a12
May ’24€9.73
€11.17
+14.8%
8.3%€13.00€9.80€13.3512
Apr ’24€9.27
€11.07
+19.4%
9.3%€13.00€9.50€13.8112
Mar ’24€9.97
€11.16
+11.9%
8.4%€13.00€9.80€12.6112
Feb ’24€9.97
€10.83
+8.7%
8.7%€12.00€9.30€12.0912
Jan ’24€8.98
€10.60
+18.0%
9.7%€12.00€9.00€11.2111
Dec ’23€9.16
€10.60
+15.7%
9.7%€12.00€9.00€10.8111
Nov ’23€9.12
€10.48
+14.9%
10.1%€12.00€9.00€11.3511
Oct ’23€8.06
€10.45
+29.7%
11.8%€12.00€8.70€12.5310
Sep ’23€7.81
€10.48
+34.1%
11.3%€12.00€8.70€12.0811
Aug ’23€8.42
€10.83
+28.7%
11.4%€12.70€8.50€11.9711
Jul ’23€8.25
€11.40
+38.1%
7.8%€12.80€9.80€10.9610
Jun ’23€9.42
€11.40
+21.0%
7.8%€12.80€9.80€10.6310
May ’23€9.61
€11.65
+21.2%
5.5%€12.80€10.50€9.7312

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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