ING Groep Valuation

Is INGA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INGA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INGA (€14.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€44.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INGA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INGA?

Key metric: As INGA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for INGA. This is calculated by dividing INGA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is INGA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.9x
Earnings€3.65b
Market Cap€46.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does INGA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for INGA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.4x
ABN ABN AMRO Bank
5x-8.6%€12.4b
601166 Industrial Bank
5.3x6.5%CN¥375.0b
BARC Barclays
8.8x10.7%UK£37.1b
SBER Sberbank of Russia
2.6x8.2%₽3.0t
INGA ING Groep
12.9x9.5%€46.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: INGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the peer average (6.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does INGA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INGA 12.9xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies44PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: INGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INGA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INGA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.9x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: INGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst INGA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.98
€18.58
+24.0%
8.6%€22.50€16.00n/a19
Nov ’25€15.73
€18.61
+18.3%
8.9%€22.50€16.00n/a19
Oct ’25€15.97
€19.06
+19.4%
8.6%€22.50€16.00n/a20
Sep ’25€16.39
€18.73
+14.2%
8.0%€21.00€16.00n/a20
Aug ’25€16.10
€18.65
+15.8%
7.8%€21.18€16.00n/a20
Jul ’25€16.36
€18.28
+11.7%
8.9%€21.18€16.00n/a20
Jun ’25€16.36
€17.38
+6.2%
8.2%€20.21€14.80n/a19
May ’25€14.86
€16.46
+10.7%
9.0%€19.24€13.00n/a20
Apr ’25€15.25
€15.93
+4.5%
9.8%€19.10€13.00n/a20
Mar ’25€12.73
€15.39
+20.9%
10.0%€19.10€12.50n/a21
Feb ’25€12.34
€16.07
+30.2%
9.9%€19.10€12.50n/a22
Jan ’25€13.53
€16.51
+22.1%
10.4%€20.10€12.50n/a22
Dec ’24€12.88
€16.46
+27.8%
10.5%€20.10€12.50n/a22
Nov ’24€12.01
€16.65
+38.6%
10.8%€20.10€12.50€15.7322
Oct ’24€12.55
€16.62
+32.5%
11.3%€20.10€12.50€15.9722
Sep ’24€13.05
€16.38
+25.5%
12.4%€20.10€12.50€16.3923
Aug ’24€13.25
€15.80
+19.2%
10.8%€18.10€12.50€16.1022
Jul ’24€12.34
€15.55
+26.0%
10.6%€18.10€12.50€16.3620
Jun ’24€11.68
€15.40
+31.9%
11.3%€18.10€12.00€16.3621
May ’24€11.20
€15.17
+35.4%
10.7%€17.50€12.00€14.8621
Apr ’24€10.93
€15.20
+39.1%
10.9%€17.60€12.00€15.2521
Mar ’24€13.22
€15.15
+14.6%
10.6%€17.60€12.00€12.7321
Feb ’24€13.39
€14.75
+10.1%
11.1%€17.00€12.00€12.3421
Jan ’24€11.39
€14.32
+25.7%
13.0%€17.00€10.00€13.5322
Dec ’23€11.44
€14.21
+24.2%
13.3%€17.00€10.00€12.8822
Nov ’23€10.07
€13.66
+35.6%
11.9%€16.30€10.00€12.0122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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