Barclays Valuation

Is BARC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BARC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BARC (£2.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£3.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BARC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BARC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BARC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BARC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BARC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
LLOY Lloyds Banking Group
7.5x4.2%UK£33.4b
NWG NatWest Group
7.2x0.3%UK£31.9b
STAN Standard Chartered
7.3x5.8%UK£22.3b
HSBA HSBC Holdings
7.4x-2.0%UK£128.1b
BARC Barclays
8.4x10.6%UK£35.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BARC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BARC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BARC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BARC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BARC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio6.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BARC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BARC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.45
UK£2.82
+15.3%
15.5%UK£3.85UK£1.88n/a18
Oct ’25UK£2.20
UK£2.67
+21.4%
13.8%UK£3.41UK£1.88n/a19
Sep ’25UK£2.28
UK£2.66
+16.5%
13.7%UK£3.41UK£1.88n/a19
Aug ’25UK£2.23
UK£2.56
+14.7%
14.4%UK£3.41UK£1.88n/a19
Jul ’25UK£2.13
UK£2.47
+15.9%
14.3%UK£3.35UK£1.88n/a19
Jun ’25UK£2.20
UK£2.52
+14.7%
14.8%UK£3.35UK£1.88n/a18
May ’25UK£2.03
UK£2.47
+21.6%
14.8%UK£3.30UK£1.88n/a18
Apr ’25UK£1.83
UK£2.29
+24.8%
14.7%UK£3.00UK£1.65n/a17
Mar ’25UK£1.70
UK£2.23
+31.4%
18.3%UK£3.00UK£1.41n/a18
Feb ’25UK£1.46
UK£2.10
+44.0%
16.7%UK£2.90UK£1.41n/a17
Jan ’25UK£1.54
UK£2.09
+35.8%
17.3%UK£2.90UK£1.41n/a17
Dec ’24UK£1.42
UK£2.07
+45.2%
18.8%UK£2.90UK£1.35n/a17
Nov ’24UK£1.29
UK£2.13
+64.6%
21.5%UK£3.05UK£1.35UK£2.4117
Oct ’24UK£1.59
UK£2.27
+42.8%
17.5%UK£3.20UK£1.70UK£2.2017
Sep ’24UK£1.49
UK£2.35
+57.4%
18.0%UK£3.20UK£1.70UK£2.2819
Aug ’24UK£1.51
UK£2.38
+57.2%
18.7%UK£3.20UK£1.70UK£2.2319
Jul ’24UK£1.53
UK£2.39
+55.5%
17.9%UK£3.20UK£1.70UK£2.1319
Jun ’24UK£1.53
UK£2.40
+57.4%
15.1%UK£3.15UK£1.70UK£2.2019
May ’24UK£1.60
UK£2.37
+48.4%
14.5%UK£3.00UK£1.70UK£2.0319
Apr ’24UK£1.46
UK£2.29
+56.9%
19.3%UK£3.17UK£1.23UK£1.8320
Mar ’24UK£1.74
UK£2.37
+36.1%
20.8%UK£3.40UK£1.23UK£1.7021
Feb ’24UK£1.86
UK£2.37
+26.9%
21.5%UK£3.40UK£1.23UK£1.4621
Jan ’24UK£1.59
UK£2.36
+48.6%
22.0%UK£3.40UK£1.23UK£1.5420
Dec ’23UK£1.58
UK£2.32
+46.4%
22.9%UK£3.40UK£1.23UK£1.4221
Nov ’23UK£1.50
UK£2.27
+51.0%
21.0%UK£3.25UK£1.23UK£1.2921

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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