HSBC Holdings Valuation

Is HSBA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HSBA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HSBA (£6.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£14.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HSBA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HSBA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HSBA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio-2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HSBA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HSBA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
LLOY Lloyds Banking Group
7.2x4.8%UK£32.4b
BARC Barclays
7.6x11.4%UK£30.6b
NWG NatWest Group
5.6x-6.3%UK£25.2b
STAN Standard Chartered
7.3x8.9%UK£17.5b
HSBA HSBC Holdings
6.9x-3.3%UK£122.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HSBA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HSBA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HSBA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HSBA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HSBA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.9x
Fair PE Ratio5.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HSBA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HSBA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£6.62
UK£7.91
+19.5%
13.3%UK£10.15UK£6.30n/a18
Apr ’25UK£6.19
UK£7.74
+25.1%
14.3%UK£10.00UK£6.00n/a18
Mar ’25UK£6.13
UK£7.60
+24.1%
15.8%UK£9.97UK£5.16n/a19
Feb ’25UK£6.11
UK£7.74
+26.6%
14.6%UK£9.75UK£5.73n/a19
Jan ’25UK£6.36
UK£7.76
+22.1%
14.4%UK£9.57UK£5.50n/a19
Dec ’24UK£6.04
UK£7.84
+29.9%
14.3%UK£9.72UK£5.58n/a19
Nov ’24UK£5.90
UK£8.15
+38.2%
13.8%UK£9.99UK£5.74n/a18
Oct ’24UK£6.45
UK£8.23
+27.7%
12.9%UK£10.41UK£6.35n/a19
Sep ’24UK£5.88
UK£7.85
+33.5%
14.2%UK£10.05UK£5.89n/a20
Aug ’24UK£6.55
UK£7.66
+17.0%
14.0%UK£10.25UK£5.75n/a20
Jul ’24UK£6.22
UK£7.53
+21.1%
14.2%UK£9.99UK£5.66n/a19
Jun ’24UK£5.94
UK£7.48
+26.0%
15.7%UK£10.18UK£5.06n/a20
May ’24UK£5.74
UK£7.06
+23.0%
14.4%UK£8.99UK£5.04n/a20
Apr ’24UK£5.50
UK£7.04
+28.2%
14.1%UK£8.65UK£5.09UK£6.1920
Mar ’24UK£6.40
UK£7.19
+12.3%
12.9%UK£8.83UK£5.22UK£6.1320
Feb ’24UK£6.01
UK£6.59
+9.5%
14.4%UK£8.00UK£4.69UK£6.1121
Jan ’24UK£5.16
UK£6.37
+23.5%
12.2%UK£7.68UK£4.80UK£6.3620
Dec ’23UK£4.98
UK£6.23
+25.2%
12.8%UK£7.58UK£4.74UK£6.0419
Nov ’23UK£4.59
UK£6.54
+42.6%
16.1%UK£8.10UK£3.94UK£5.9019
Oct ’23UK£4.67
UK£6.97
+49.2%
13.6%UK£9.34UK£5.27UK£6.4519
Sep ’23UK£5.21
UK£6.80
+30.6%
13.1%UK£8.89UK£5.02UK£5.8820
Aug ’23UK£5.45
UK£6.39
+17.2%
15.3%UK£8.51UK£4.95UK£6.5520
Jul ’23UK£5.34
UK£6.49
+21.5%
12.9%UK£8.70UK£5.28UK£6.2221
Jun ’23UK£5.30
UK£6.27
+18.4%
12.3%UK£8.37UK£5.15UK£5.9420
May ’23UK£5.01
UK£6.15
+22.7%
13.9%UK£8.42UK£4.98UK£5.7421
Apr ’23UK£5.29
UK£6.01
+13.6%
15.5%UK£8.07UK£4.08UK£5.5021

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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