FirstRand Limited

NMSE:FST Stock Report

Market Cap: R432.0b

FirstRand Valuation

Is FST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FST (ZAR77.09) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR28.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FST is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FST?

Key metric: As FST is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FST. This is calculated by dividing FST's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FST's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsR38.19b
Market CapR431.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.4x
8591 ORIX
9.4x5.7%JP¥3.8t
JIOFIN Jio Financial Services
120.4xn/a₹1.9t
BAJAJFINSV Bajaj Finserv
29.4x25.4%₹2.5t
2885 Yuanta Financial Holding
14.4x9.1%NT$434.9b
FST FirstRand
11.3x10.6%R432.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (43.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FST 11.3xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the African Diversified Financial industry average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FST's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR77.09
R87.63
+13.7%
3.5%R93.00R84.00n/a10
Dec ’25R76.94
R87.63
+13.9%
3.5%R93.00R84.00n/a10
Nov ’25R77.49
R88.17
+13.8%
3.3%R93.00R85.00n/a8
Oct ’25R82.09
R88.42
+7.7%
2.8%R93.00R85.00n/a8
Sep ’25R85.98
R84.52
-1.7%
8.1%R93.00R72.63n/a8
Aug ’25R80.81
R81.68
+1.1%
9.3%R93.00R69.00n/a9
Jul ’25R77.62
R76.99
-0.8%
7.8%R86.20R69.00n/a9
Jun ’25R65.00
R75.68
+16.4%
6.8%R85.00R69.00n/a9
May ’25R65.16
R75.45
+15.8%
8.0%R87.00R69.00n/a9
Apr ’25R61.73
R75.91
+23.0%
7.7%R87.00R70.00n/a10
Mar ’25R65.54
R77.00
+17.5%
8.7%R91.00R70.00n/a9
Feb ’25R66.26
R77.45
+16.9%
8.4%R91.00R70.00n/a9
Jan ’25R73.51
R75.82
+3.1%
8.1%R86.00R68.00n/a9
Dec ’24R67.98
R75.26
+10.7%
7.4%R86.00R68.00R76.949
Nov ’24R62.23
R74.91
+20.4%
7.7%R86.00R68.00R77.499
Oct ’24R63.86
R76.02
+19.0%
7.0%R86.00R69.00R82.099
Sep ’24R73.64
R76.48
+3.9%
7.4%R85.00R66.00R85.989
Aug ’24R72.92
R75.15
+3.1%
7.7%R85.00R66.00R80.819
Jul ’24R68.50
R74.75
+9.1%
7.3%R84.00R66.00R77.629
Jun ’24R61.18
R73.82
+20.7%
8.5%R84.00R65.00R65.009
May ’24R64.36
R74.23
+15.3%
8.9%R84.00R65.00R65.169
Apr ’24R60.38
R73.86
+22.3%
8.7%R84.00R65.00R61.739
Mar ’24R66.83
R73.01
+9.2%
6.9%R81.00R64.00R65.549
Feb ’24R65.98
R72.78
+10.3%
6.8%R80.06R64.00R66.269
Jan ’24R62.12
R73.57
+18.4%
6.1%R80.06R66.50R73.518
Dec ’23R60.84
R72.55
+19.2%
8.0%R80.00R60.00R67.989

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 05:12
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

FirstRand Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Johann ScholtzAfrifocus Securities (Pty) Ltd.
Harry BothaAnchor Stockbrokers Proprietary Limited
Jaap MeijerArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.