FirstRand Limited

NMSE:FST Stock Report

Market Cap: R535.6b

FirstRand Valuation

Is FST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of FST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: FST (ZAR96.23) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (ZAR38.27)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: FST is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FST?

Key metric: As FST is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FST. This is calculated by dividing FST's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FST's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.2x
EarningsR43.93b
Market CapR535.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.9x
PST Poste Italiane
15x4.29%€36.5b
8591 ORIX
15.3x4.87%JP¥6.8t
2885 Yuanta Financial Holding
20.2x1.01%NT$881.2b
BAJAJFINSV Bajaj Finserv
29x18.66%₹2.8t
FST FirstRand
12.2x16.66%R535.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Diversified Financial Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FST 12.2xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the African Diversified Financial industry average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FST's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR99.02
R105.23
+6.27%
5.32%R114.71R95.00n/a10
Jun ’27R90.55
R104.41
+15.31%
4.97%R114.71R95.00n/a9
May ’27R88.23
R104.45
+18.38%
4.93%R114.71R95.00n/a9
Apr ’27R86.94
R103.99
+19.61%
6.45%R116.62R92.00n/a9
Mar ’27R99.19
R102.88
+3.72%
7.15%R112.98R92.00n/a9
Feb ’27R92.54
R101.44
+9.62%
7.06%R112.98R92.00n/a9
Jan ’27R90.75
R99.22
+9.33%
7.28%R112.98R92.00n/a9
Dec ’26R82.00
R97.02
+18.31%
6.12%R109.00R90.00n/a9
Nov ’26R82.23
R93.89
+14.18%
4.87%R101.16R87.00n/a8
Oct ’26R77.75
R93.14
+19.80%
5.65%R101.16R85.00n/a8
Sep ’26R74.36
R88.49
+19.00%
6.90%R95.00R77.08n/a8
Aug ’26R75.81
R86.18
+13.67%
6.96%R96.00R77.08n/a8
Jul ’26R76.20
R85.69
+12.46%
6.22%R96.00R77.08n/a9
Jun ’26R74.51
R85.02
+14.11%
5.20%R94.00R77.08R90.5510
May ’26R72.63
R85.22
+17.34%
5.37%R94.00R77.08R88.2310
Apr ’26R73.46
R86.92
+18.33%
5.91%R96.00R77.08R86.9410
Mar ’26R70.71
R87.94
+24.37%
4.66%R96.00R83.00R99.1910
Feb ’26R76.23
R88.03
+15.48%
3.64%R94.00R84.00R92.5410
Jan ’26R75.96
R87.63
+15.37%
3.50%R93.00R84.00R90.7510
Dec ’25R76.94
R87.63
+13.90%
3.50%R93.00R84.00R82.0010
Nov ’25R77.49
R88.17
+13.78%
3.27%R93.00R85.00R82.238
Oct ’25R82.09
R88.42
+7.71%
2.81%R93.00R85.00R77.758
Sep ’25R85.98
R84.52
-1.70%
8.12%R93.00R72.63R74.368
Aug ’25R80.81
R81.68
+1.08%
9.27%R93.00R69.00R75.819
Jul ’25R77.62
R76.99
-0.81%
7.85%R86.20R69.00R76.209
Jun ’25R65.00
R75.68
+16.43%
6.83%R85.00R69.00R74.519
R105.23
Fair Value
8.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/24 08:26
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/24 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

FirstRand Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ilan StermerAnchor Stockbrokers Proprietary Limited
Jaap MeijerArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Adrienne DamantAvior Capital Markets