FirstRand Valuation

Is FST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FST (ZAR66.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR24.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FST is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FST?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FST key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
8591 ORIX
11.1x8.3%JP¥3.8t
CRBG Corebridge Financial
7.5x9.2%US$17.7b
EQH Equitable Holdings
11.3x18.6%US$13.1b
BAJAJFINSV Bajaj Finserv
31x18.2%₹2.5t
FST FirstRand
9.8x9.7%R371.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the African Diversified Financial industry average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FST's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR66.25
R75.90
+14.6%
7.7%R87.00R69.00n/a9
May ’25R65.16
R75.45
+15.8%
8.0%R87.00R69.00n/a9
Apr ’25R61.73
R75.91
+23.0%
7.7%R87.00R70.00n/a10
Mar ’25R65.54
R77.00
+17.5%
8.7%R91.00R70.00n/a9
Feb ’25R66.26
R77.45
+16.9%
8.4%R91.00R70.00n/a9
Jan ’25R73.51
R75.82
+3.1%
8.1%R86.00R68.00n/a9
Dec ’24R67.98
R75.26
+10.7%
7.4%R86.00R68.00n/a9
Nov ’24R62.23
R74.91
+20.4%
7.7%R86.00R68.00n/a9
Oct ’24R63.86
R76.02
+19.0%
7.0%R86.00R69.00n/a9
Sep ’24R73.64
R76.48
+3.9%
7.4%R85.00R66.00n/a9
Aug ’24R72.92
R75.15
+3.1%
7.7%R85.00R66.00n/a9
Jul ’24R68.50
R74.75
+9.1%
7.3%R84.00R66.00n/a9
Jun ’24R61.18
R73.82
+20.7%
8.5%R84.00R65.00n/a9
May ’24R64.36
R74.23
+15.3%
8.9%R84.00R65.00R65.169
Apr ’24R60.38
R73.86
+22.3%
8.7%R84.00R65.00R61.739
Mar ’24R66.83
R73.01
+9.2%
6.9%R81.00R64.00R65.549
Feb ’24R65.98
R72.78
+10.3%
6.8%R80.06R64.00R66.269
Jan ’24R62.12
R73.57
+18.4%
6.1%R80.06R66.50R73.518
Dec ’23R60.84
R72.55
+19.2%
8.0%R80.00R60.00R67.989
Nov ’23R64.19
R72.10
+12.3%
7.4%R78.00R60.00R62.239
Oct ’23R60.74
R72.33
+19.1%
7.7%R78.00R60.00R63.869
Sep ’23R63.91
R73.44
+14.9%
8.0%R80.00R60.00R73.649
Aug ’23R65.51
R73.39
+12.0%
8.5%R80.00R60.00R72.929
Jul ’23R62.37
R74.17
+18.9%
8.6%R81.00R60.00R68.509
Jun ’23R70.71
R73.94
+4.6%
8.8%R81.00R60.00R61.189
May ’23R68.49
R73.00
+6.6%
9.2%R81.00R60.00R64.3610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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