Is Pos Malaysia Berhad (KLSE:POS) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Pos Malaysia Berhad (KLSE:POS) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Pos Malaysia Berhad Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pos Malaysia Berhad had debt of RM471.9m at the end of December 2024, a reduction from RM502.9m over a year. However, it also had RM163.0m in cash, and so its net debt is RM308.9m.
How Strong Is Pos Malaysia Berhad's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Pos Malaysia Berhad had liabilities of RM1.46b due within 12 months and liabilities of RM248.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM163.0m and RM694.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM849.0m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the RM234.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Pos Malaysia Berhad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pos Malaysia Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
View our latest analysis for Pos Malaysia Berhad
Over 12 months, Pos Malaysia Berhad saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Pos Malaysia Berhad produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping RM133m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized RM54m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Pos Malaysia Berhad (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:POS
Pos Malaysia Berhad
Provides postal and parcel services in Malaysia and internationally.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.
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