Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That Theta Edge Berhad (KLSE:THETA) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

KLSE:THETA
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for Theta Edge Berhad (KLSE:THETA) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Theta Edge Berhad

Does Theta Edge Berhad Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Theta Edge Berhad last reported its balance sheet in December 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth RM51m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through RM7.5m. That means it had a cash runway of about 6.8 years as of December 2021. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:THETA Debt to Equity History May 24th 2022

How Well Is Theta Edge Berhad Growing?

Theta Edge Berhad actually ramped up its cash burn by a whopping 56% in the last year, which shows it is boosting investment in the business. Of course, the truly verdant revenue growth of 203% in that time may well justify the growth spend. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Theta Edge Berhad is building its business over time.

Can Theta Edge Berhad Raise More Cash Easily?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Theta Edge Berhad has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Theta Edge Berhad has a market capitalisation of RM90m and burnt through RM7.5m last year, which is 8.4% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

So, Should We Worry About Theta Edge Berhad's Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Theta Edge Berhad's cash burn. In particular, we think its revenue growth stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. On another note, Theta Edge Berhad has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

Of course Theta Edge Berhad may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.