Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Autocount Dotcom Berhad (KLSE:ADB) As Its Stock Soars 27%

KLSE:ADB
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Despite an already strong run, Autocount Dotcom Berhad (KLSE:ADB) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 102% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, Autocount Dotcom Berhad may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.5x, since almost half of all companies in Malaysia have P/E ratios under 17x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For example, consider that Autocount Dotcom Berhad's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Autocount Dotcom Berhad

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:ADB Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Autocount Dotcom Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Autocount Dotcom Berhad's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Autocount Dotcom Berhad's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 94% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why Autocount Dotcom Berhad is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Shares in Autocount Dotcom Berhad have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Autocount Dotcom Berhad maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Autocount Dotcom Berhad that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Autocount Dotcom Berhad. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.