Stock Analysis

Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:MATRIX) Stock Price Has Reduced 18% In The Past Three Years

KLSE:MATRIX
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One of the frustrations of investing is when a stock goes down. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. The Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MATRIX) is down 18% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -1.0% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 3.4% over the last three years. The good news is that the stock is up 4.0% in the last week.

View our latest analysis for Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Although the share price is down over three years, Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad actually managed to grow EPS by 3.3% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

It's pretty reasonable to suspect the market was previously to bullish on the stock, and has since moderated expectations. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

It's quite likely that the declining dividend has caused some investors to sell their shares, pushing the price lower in the process. In contrast it does not seem particularly likely that the revenue levels are a concern for investors.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KLSE:MATRIX Earnings and Revenue Growth February 27th 2021

Take a more thorough look at Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad the TSR over the last 3 years was -1.0%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad shareholders are down 0.8% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 12%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 5%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad .

We will like Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MY exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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