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Here's Why EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd (KLSE:ECOFIRS) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd (KLSE:ECOFIRS) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd
What Is EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at February 2021 EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd had debt of RM168.4m, up from RM160.6m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM4.17m, its net debt is less, at about RM164.2m.
How Healthy Is EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd had liabilities of RM137.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM166.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM4.17m in cash and RM72.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM227.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of RM329.6m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (13.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.4 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd's EBIT was down 71% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
To be frank both EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About KLSE:ECOFIRS
EcoFirst Consolidated Bhd
An investment holding company, engages in the property construction, development, investment, and management businesses in Malaysia.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.