Stock Analysis

Is Southern Steel Berhad (KLSE:SSTEEL) Using Too Much Debt?

KLSE:SSTEEL
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Southern Steel Berhad (KLSE:SSTEEL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Southern Steel Berhad

What Is Southern Steel Berhad's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Southern Steel Berhad had RM851.1m of debt at June 2022, down from RM916.5m a year prior. However, it does have RM67.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM783.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:SSTEEL Debt to Equity History September 5th 2022

A Look At Southern Steel Berhad's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Southern Steel Berhad had liabilities of RM1.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of RM301.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM67.3m as well as receivables valued at RM172.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM1.11b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the RM372.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Southern Steel Berhad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.1, it's fair to say Southern Steel Berhad does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 4.2 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Looking on the bright side, Southern Steel Berhad boosted its EBIT by a silky 31% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Southern Steel Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Southern Steel Berhad recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, Southern Steel Berhad's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Southern Steel Berhad has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Southern Steel Berhad (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.