Stock Analysis

Here's Why LB Aluminium Berhad (KLSE:LBALUM) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

KLSE:LBALUM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that LB Aluminium Berhad (KLSE:LBALUM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for LB Aluminium Berhad

How Much Debt Does LB Aluminium Berhad Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of July 2020 LB Aluminium Berhad had RM168.3m of debt, an increase on RM152.4m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM29.6m, its net debt is less, at about RM138.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:LBALUM Debt to Equity History November 25th 2020

A Look At LB Aluminium Berhad's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that LB Aluminium Berhad had liabilities of RM212.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM57.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM29.6m and RM141.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM99.1m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of RM126.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on LB Aluminium Berhad's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.4 hit our confidence in LB Aluminium Berhad like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, LB Aluminium Berhad saw its EBIT tank 69% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is LB Aluminium Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, LB Aluminium Berhad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both LB Aluminium Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like LB Aluminium Berhad has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with LB Aluminium Berhad (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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