Stock Analysis

Is Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad (KLSE:CMSB) Potentially Undervalued?

KLSE:CMSB
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Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad (KLSE:CMSB), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the KLSE. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad

What's the opportunity in Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad?

Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad is currently expensive based on my price multiple model, where I look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 24.04x is currently well-above the industry average of 15.63x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KLSE:CMSB Earnings and Revenue Growth January 25th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? CMSB’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe CMSB should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CMSB for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CMSB, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 3 warning signs for Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad and we think they deserve your attention.

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Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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