Stock Analysis

Here's Why Teo Seng Capital Berhad (KLSE:TEOSENG) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KLSE:TEOSENG
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Teo Seng Capital Berhad (KLSE:TEOSENG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Teo Seng Capital Berhad

What Is Teo Seng Capital Berhad's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Teo Seng Capital Berhad had RM165.6m of debt, up from RM147.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have RM47.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM118.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:TEOSENG Debt to Equity History December 3rd 2020

How Healthy Is Teo Seng Capital Berhad's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Teo Seng Capital Berhad had liabilities of RM178.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM90.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of RM47.5m and RM68.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM152.7m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of RM236.6m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Teo Seng Capital Berhad has net debt worth 2.1 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 5.3 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Shareholders should be aware that Teo Seng Capital Berhad's EBIT was down 63% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Teo Seng Capital Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Teo Seng Capital Berhad recorded free cash flow worth 70% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Teo Seng Capital Berhad's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. In particular, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was re-invigorating. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Teo Seng Capital Berhad's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Teo Seng Capital Berhad you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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