Despite shrinking by RM134m in the past week, MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MSM) shareholders are still up 151% over 5 years
It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MSM) share price down 19% in the last month. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 143% in that time. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now. While the long term returns are impressive, we do have some sympathy for those who bought more recently, given the 72% drop, in the last year.
While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the five years of share price growth, MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We know that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts .
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad's TSR of 151% over the last 5 years is better than the share price return.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad shareholders are down 72% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 7.9%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 20% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
But note: MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Malaysian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:MSM
MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad
A refined sugar producer, produces, refines, markets, and sells refined sugar products in Malaysia.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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