Stock Analysis

Is Johor Plantations Group Berhad (KLSE:JPG) Using Too Much Debt?

KLSE:JPG
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Johor Plantations Group Berhad (KLSE:JPG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Johor Plantations Group Berhad

What Is Johor Plantations Group Berhad's Debt?

As you can see below, Johor Plantations Group Berhad had RM1.51b of debt at June 2024, down from RM1.87b a year prior. On the flip side, it has RM106.6m in cash leading to net debt of about RM1.40b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:JPG Debt to Equity History November 4th 2024

How Healthy Is Johor Plantations Group Berhad's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Johor Plantations Group Berhad had liabilities of RM328.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM1.89b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had RM106.6m in cash and RM145.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM1.96b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of RM2.95b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Johor Plantations Group Berhad's debt is 3.1 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.2 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Unfortunately, Johor Plantations Group Berhad's EBIT flopped 19% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Johor Plantations Group Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Johor Plantations Group Berhad recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Mulling over Johor Plantations Group Berhad's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Johor Plantations Group Berhad's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Johor Plantations Group Berhad has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.