Harn Len Corporation Bhd's (KLSE:HARNLEN) Shares Climb 29% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Harn Len Corporation Bhd (KLSE:HARNLEN) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 9.0% isn't as attractive.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Harn Len Corporation Bhd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 28.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Harn Len Corporation Bhd has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Harn Len Corporation Bhd
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Harn Len Corporation Bhd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 282% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 16% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Harn Len Corporation Bhd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Harn Len Corporation Bhd have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Harn Len Corporation Bhd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Harn Len Corporation Bhd that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Harn Len Corporation Bhd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:HARNLEN
Harn Len Corporation Bhd
Engages in the cultivation of oil palm in Malaysia.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.