Stock Analysis

Revenue Group Berhad (KLSE:REVENUE) Soars 32% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

KLSE:REVENUE
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Revenue Group Berhad (KLSE:REVENUE) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 63% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in Malaysia's Diversified Financial industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.8x, you may still consider Revenue Group Berhad as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Revenue Group Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:REVENUE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

What Does Revenue Group Berhad's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Revenue Group Berhad has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Revenue Group Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Revenue Group Berhad's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Revenue Group Berhad's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has also set the world alight, thanks to the last 12 months of incredible growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing the recent medium-term upward revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for contraction of 8.7% shows it's a great look while it lasts.

In light of this, it's quite peculiar that Revenue Group Berhad's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.

The Final Word

Revenue Group Berhad's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Looking at the figures, it's surprising to see Revenue Group Berhad currently trades on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year revenue growth is beating forecasts for a struggling industry. There could be some major unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to stay its recent course and swim against the current of the broader industry turmoil. While the chance of the share price dropping sharply is fairly remote, investors do seem to be anticipating future revenue instability.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Revenue Group Berhad (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.