Stock Analysis

Is White Horse Berhad (KLSE:WTHORSE) A Risky Investment?

KLSE:WTHORSE
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies White Horse Berhad (KLSE:WTHORSE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for White Horse Berhad

What Is White Horse Berhad's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that White Horse Berhad had debt of RM113.4m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from RM156.6m over a year. However, it does have RM110.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM3.26m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:WTHORSE Debt to Equity History May 19th 2021

A Look At White Horse Berhad's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that White Horse Berhad had liabilities of RM231.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM32.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM110.2m in cash and RM98.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM55.5m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since White Horse Berhad has a market capitalization of RM138.9m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since White Horse Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, White Horse Berhad made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to RM410m, which is a fall of 22%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While White Horse Berhad's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable RM66m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of RM55m. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that White Horse Berhad is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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