Stock Analysis

Is HLT Global Berhad (KLSE:HLT) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

KLSE:HLT
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for HLT Global Berhad (KLSE:HLT) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for HLT Global Berhad

When Might HLT Global Berhad Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at June 2023, HLT Global Berhad had cash of RM42m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. In the last year, its cash burn was RM34m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 15 months from June 2023. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:HLT Debt to Equity History October 30th 2023

Is HLT Global Berhad's Revenue Growing?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because HLT Global Berhad actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. The grim reality for shareholders is that operating revenue fell by 54% over the last twelve months, which is not what we want to see in a cash burning company. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how HLT Global Berhad has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

Can HLT Global Berhad Raise More Cash Easily?

Since its revenue growth is moving in the wrong direction, HLT Global Berhad shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

HLT Global Berhad has a market capitalisation of RM105m and burnt through RM34m last year, which is 33% of the company's market value. That's fairly notable cash burn, so if the company had to sell shares to cover the cost of another year's operations, shareholders would suffer some costly dilution.

How Risky Is HLT Global Berhad's Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of HLT Global Berhad's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Looking at the factors mentioned in this short report, we do think that its cash burn is a bit risky, and it does make us slightly nervous about the stock. On another note, HLT Global Berhad has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course HLT Global Berhad may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.