Upbound Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of UPBD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

UPBD * (MX$920) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$835.52)

Is UPBD * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UPBD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UPBD * (MX$920) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$835.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UPBD * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UPBD *?

Key metric: As UPBD * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UPBD *. This is calculated by dividing UPBD *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is UPBD *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	29.9x
Earnings	US$63.92m
Market Cap	US$1.91b

UPBD * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	13.1x
PEG Ratio	2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UPBD *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UPBD * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	10.1x
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V	15x	n/a	Mex$25.4b
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de	12.8x	n/a	Mex$58.4b
GPH 1 Grupo Palacio de Hierro. de	6.3x	n/a	Mex$16.6b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de	6.2x	5.1%	Mex$141.5b
UPBD * Upbound Group	29.9x	21.7%	Mex$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UPBD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UPBD *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?

16 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

16 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UPBD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (14.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UPBD *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UPBD * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	29.9x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UPBD *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.