Grupo Palacio de Hierro, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:GPH 1 Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$16.6b

Grupo Palacio de Hierro. de Valuation

Is GPH 1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GPH 1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GPH 1 (MX$44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$93.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GPH 1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPH 1?

Key metric: As GPH 1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GPH 1. This is calculated by dividing GPH 1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GPH 1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.3x
EarningsMex$2.64b
Market CapMex$16.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GPH 1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GPH 1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.6x
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de
12.8xn/aMex$58.4b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
6.4x5.1%Mex$142.2b
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V
16.8xn/aMex$27.8b
PUUILO Puuilo Oyj
18.4x14.5%€752.9m
GPH 1 Grupo Palacio de Hierro. de
6.3xn/aMex$16.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GPH 1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GPH 1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GPH 1 6.3xIndustry Avg. 19.6xNo. of Companies21PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GPH 1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GPH 1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GPH 1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GPH 1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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