- Mexico
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- General Merchandise and Department Stores
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- BMV:LIVEPOL C-1
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) Annual Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 2.0% to Mex$99.96 in the week after its latest full-year results. El Puerto de Liverpool. de reported Mex$215b in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$17.26 beat expectations, being 3.5% higher than what the analysts expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
See our latest analysis for El Puerto de Liverpool. de
Following the latest results, El Puerto de Liverpool. de's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of Mex$227.5b in 2025. This would be an okay 5.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to reduce 2.3% to Mex$16.86 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of Mex$228.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$17.06 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at Mex$130. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values El Puerto de Liverpool. de at Mex$170 per share, while the most bearish prices it at Mex$105. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that El Puerto de Liverpool. de's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 5.9% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 12% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 9.2% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than El Puerto de Liverpool. de.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that El Puerto de Liverpool. de's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple El Puerto de Liverpool. de analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for El Puerto de Liverpool. de that you need to take into consideration.
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Discover if El Puerto de Liverpool. de might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:LIVEPOL C-1
El Puerto de Liverpool. de
Operates a chain of department stores primarily in Mexico.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.