Imperial Brands Valuation

Is IMB N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IMB N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IMB N (MX$616.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1545.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IMB N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IMB N?

Key metric: As IMB N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IMB N. This is calculated by dividing IMB N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IMB N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.5x
EarningsUK£2.08b
Market CapUK£19.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IMB N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IMB N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
FEMSA UBD Fomento Económico Mexicano. de
21.2x8.6%Mex$609.8b
AC * Arca Continental. de
15.3x8.0%Mex$288.2b
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
21.5x14.6%Mex$272.8b
GRUMA B Gruma. de
12.5x7.0%Mex$127.2b
IMB N Imperial Brands
9.5x0.8%Mex$19.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IMB N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IMB N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Tobacco Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IMB N 9.5xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IMB N is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the Global Tobacco industry average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IMB N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IMB N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IMB N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IMB N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$665.07
0%
15.6%Mex$925.32Mex$514.07n/a10
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$648.01
0%
15.4%Mex$911.45Mex$506.36n/a10
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$645.56
0%
18.2%Mex$948.78Mex$527.10n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$536.68
0%
19.4%Mex$835.94Mex$429.58n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$536.68
0%
19.4%Mex$835.94Mex$429.58n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$536.68
0%
19.4%Mex$835.94Mex$429.58n/a12
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$498.65
0%
20.2%Mex$761.33Mex$391.24n/a12
May ’25Mex$391.31
Mex$482.53
+23.3%
22.6%Mex$762.45Mex$362.16n/a12
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$490.58
0%
21.5%Mex$770.24Mex$385.12n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$498.80
0%
20.7%Mex$784.27Mex$392.13n/a13
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$498.80
0%
20.7%Mex$784.27Mex$392.13n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$492.95
0%
20.3%Mex$756.39Mex$356.58n/a15
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$500.42
0%
19.4%Mex$759.56Mex$358.08n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$515.76
0%
19.3%Mex$778.44Mex$366.98n/a15
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$499.04
0%
18.0%Mex$745.90Mex$358.03n/a15
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$518.75
0%
17.3%Mex$764.58Mex$367.00n/a16
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$518.75
0%
17.3%Mex$764.58Mex$367.00n/a16
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$513.16
0%
17.2%Mex$755.49Mex$362.63n/a16
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$535.96
0%
14.4%Mex$769.96Mex$438.44n/a17
May ’24Mex$445.83
Mex$547.18
+22.7%
14.1%Mex$783.24Mex$446.00Mex$391.3117
Apr ’24Mex$428.59
Mex$536.12
+25.1%
14.1%Mex$769.56Mex$438.21n/a17
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$536.12
0%
14.1%Mex$769.56Mex$438.21n/a17
Feb ’24Mex$471.62
Mex$562.07
+19.2%
14.1%Mex$806.53Mex$462.49n/a17
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$586.29
0%
12.7%Mex$796.65Mex$484.75n/a17
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$570.60
0%
12.8%Mex$773.93Mex$470.92n/a17
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$533.12
0%
15.1%Mex$731.95Mex$369.15n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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