Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:AC * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$288.2b

Arca Continental. de Valuation

Is AC * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AC * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AC * (MX$169.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$249.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AC * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AC *?

Key metric: As AC * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AC *. This is calculated by dividing AC *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is AC *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.3x
EarningsMex$18.84b
Market CapMex$288.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AC *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AC * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
FEMSA UBD Fomento Económico Mexicano. de
21.2x8.6%Mex$609.8b
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
21.5x14.6%Mex$272.8b
CUERVO * Becle. de
21.3x21.1%Mex$92.8b
CULTIBA B Organización Cultiba. de
5.4xn/aMex$6.9b
AC * Arca Continental. de
15.3x8.0%Mex$288.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AC *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Beverage Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies32PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (18.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AC *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AC * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.3x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AC * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AC * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$169.92
Mex$212.31
+24.9%
7.1%Mex$240.00Mex$182.00n/a17
Nov ’25Mex$171.30
Mex$207.63
+21.2%
10.1%Mex$240.00Mex$145.00n/a18
Oct ’25Mex$184.10
Mex$205.41
+11.6%
10.2%Mex$235.00Mex$145.00n/a17
Sep ’25Mex$176.35
Mex$205.53
+16.5%
10.3%Mex$235.00Mex$145.00n/a17
Aug ’25Mex$182.49
Mex$205.18
+12.4%
10.3%Mex$235.00Mex$145.00n/a17
Jul ’25Mex$177.45
Mex$201.89
+13.8%
10.1%Mex$240.00Mex$145.00n/a18
Jun ’25Mex$173.06
Mex$199.95
+15.5%
10.2%Mex$240.00Mex$145.00n/a19
May ’25Mex$167.12
Mex$199.68
+19.5%
10.1%Mex$240.00Mex$145.00n/a19
Apr ’25Mex$180.33
Mex$201.46
+11.7%
10.4%Mex$240.00Mex$145.00n/a19
Mar ’25Mex$185.30
Mex$200.52
+8.2%
10.7%Mex$240.00Mex$145.00n/a19
Feb ’25Mex$199.37
Mex$196.15
-1.6%
10.0%Mex$230.00Mex$145.00n/a19
Jan ’25Mex$185.41
Mex$194.52
+4.9%
9.8%Mex$230.00Mex$145.00n/a19
Dec ’24Mex$174.62
Mex$195.93
+12.2%
10.0%Mex$230.00Mex$145.00n/a17
Nov ’24Mex$167.65
Mex$197.05
+17.5%
9.6%Mex$234.00Mex$145.00Mex$171.3016
Oct ’24Mex$158.28
Mex$196.46
+24.1%
10.7%Mex$234.00Mex$145.00Mex$184.1016
Sep ’24Mex$164.75
Mex$196.02
+19.0%
10.6%Mex$234.00Mex$145.00Mex$176.3517
Aug ’24Mex$163.87
Mex$194.85
+18.9%
10.5%Mex$234.00Mex$145.00Mex$182.4917
Jul ’24Mex$175.94
Mex$187.87
+6.8%
9.6%Mex$234.00Mex$145.00Mex$177.4517
Jun ’24Mex$171.44
Mex$183.75
+7.2%
7.2%Mex$199.00Mex$145.00Mex$173.0617
May ’24Mex$171.10
Mex$181.46
+6.1%
6.8%Mex$197.00Mex$145.00Mex$167.1217
Apr ’24Mex$163.64
Mex$179.96
+10.0%
6.9%Mex$197.00Mex$145.00Mex$180.3317
Mar ’24Mex$153.10
Mex$175.20
+14.4%
8.9%Mex$197.00Mex$140.00Mex$185.3017
Feb ’24Mex$165.88
Mex$169.84
+2.4%
10.2%Mex$197.00Mex$140.00Mex$199.3717
Jan ’24Mex$158.24
Mex$166.85
+5.4%
10.5%Mex$192.00Mex$140.00Mex$185.4118
Dec ’23Mex$159.76
Mex$165.18
+3.4%
10.1%Mex$192.00Mex$140.00Mex$174.6218
Nov ’23Mex$163.85
Mex$162.00
-1.1%
8.9%Mex$190.00Mex$140.00Mex$167.6518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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