Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:FEMSA UBD Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$701.2b

Fomento Económico Mexicano. de Valuation

Is FEMSA UBD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FEMSA UBD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FEMSA UBD (MX$217.94) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$206.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FEMSA UBD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FEMSA UBD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FEMSA UBD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.2x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FEMSA UBD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FEMSA UBD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
AC * Arca Continental. de
17.8x8.0%Mex$311.1b
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
22.5x13.5%Mex$347.9b
CUERVO * Becle. de
30.1x16.5%Mex$142.0b
CULTIBA B Organización Cultiba. de
7.1xn/aMex$7.7b
FEMSA UBD Fomento Económico Mexicano. de
22.8x10.5%Mex$701.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FEMSA UBD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FEMSA UBD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FEMSA UBD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FEMSA UBD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FEMSA UBD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.8x
Fair PE Ratio22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FEMSA UBD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FEMSA UBD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$217.94
Mex$256.83
+17.8%
11.2%Mex$324.00Mex$213.00n/a11
Mar ’25Mex$212.48
Mex$253.51
+19.3%
12.8%Mex$324.00Mex$200.00n/a12
Feb ’25Mex$240.05
Mex$244.05
+1.7%
13.3%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
Jan ’25Mex$221.00
Mex$241.82
+9.4%
13.2%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
Dec ’24Mex$218.63
Mex$241.82
+10.6%
13.2%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
Nov ’24Mex$209.30
Mex$235.98
+12.7%
13.0%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
Oct ’24Mex$190.33
Mex$228.79
+20.2%
11.5%Mex$286.00Mex$189.00n/a12
Sep ’24Mex$190.60
Mex$224.05
+17.5%
11.7%Mex$286.00Mex$189.00n/a11
Aug ’24Mex$189.36
Mex$218.79
+15.5%
12.3%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a12
Jul ’24Mex$189.53
Mex$215.98
+14.0%
12.2%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
Jun ’24Mex$177.72
Mex$216.44
+21.8%
12.3%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
May ’24Mex$174.92
Mex$209.69
+19.9%
13.9%Mex$299.00Mex$181.00n/a13
Apr ’24Mex$171.80
Mex$206.64
+20.3%
14.2%Mex$299.00Mex$175.00n/a14
Mar ’24Mex$169.44
Mex$205.98
+21.6%
14.3%Mex$299.00Mex$175.00Mex$212.4814
Feb ’24Mex$163.00
Mex$186.40
+14.4%
11.0%Mex$220.00Mex$151.00Mex$240.0511
Jan ’24Mex$151.63
Mex$187.10
+23.4%
10.6%Mex$220.00Mex$151.00Mex$221.0011
Dec ’23Mex$152.19
Mex$187.10
+22.9%
10.6%Mex$220.00Mex$151.00Mex$218.6311
Nov ’23Mex$145.86
Mex$183.20
+25.6%
9.8%Mex$220.00Mex$151.00Mex$209.3011
Oct ’23Mex$126.22
Mex$192.47
+52.5%
21.4%Mex$310.00Mex$151.00Mex$190.3311
Sep ’23Mex$129.70
Mex$192.11
+48.1%
20.6%Mex$310.00Mex$151.00Mex$190.6012
Aug ’23Mex$124.68
Mex$196.19
+57.4%
20.2%Mex$310.00Mex$151.00Mex$189.3612
Jul ’23Mex$138.83
Mex$204.09
+47.0%
15.6%Mex$310.00Mex$170.00Mex$189.5314
Jun ’23Mex$146.04
Mex$204.09
+39.8%
15.6%Mex$310.00Mex$170.00Mex$177.7214
May ’23Mex$153.44
Mex$205.88
+34.2%
15.8%Mex$310.00Mex$170.00Mex$174.9214
Apr ’23Mex$164.72
Mex$208.48
+26.6%
15.7%Mex$310.00Mex$170.00Mex$171.8013
Mar ’23Mex$158.40
Mex$209.33
+32.2%
15.7%Mex$310.00Mex$168.00Mex$169.4413

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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