Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:FEMSA UBD Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$597.5b

Fomento Económico Mexicano. de Valuation

Is FEMSA UBD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FEMSA UBD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FEMSA UBD (MX$176.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$287.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FEMSA UBD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FEMSA UBD?

Key metric: As FEMSA UBD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FEMSA UBD. This is calculated by dividing FEMSA UBD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FEMSA UBD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.4x
EarningsMex$30.99b
Market CapMex$597.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FEMSA UBD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FEMSA UBD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
AC * Arca Continental. de
15.8x8.0%Mex$298.0b
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
19.1x20.9%Mex$241.7b
CUERVO * Becle. de
20.8x21.1%Mex$90.7b
CULTIBA B Organización Cultiba. de
5.5xn/aMex$7.1b
FEMSA UBD Fomento Económico Mexicano. de
20.4x8.3%Mex$597.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FEMSA UBD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FEMSA UBD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Beverage Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FEMSA UBD 20.4xIndustry Avg. 18.5xNo. of Companies35PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FEMSA UBD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (18.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FEMSA UBD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FEMSA UBD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FEMSA UBD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FEMSA UBD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$176.67
Mex$238.30
+34.9%
11.1%Mex$305.00Mex$208.00n/a12
Dec ’25Mex$178.85
Mex$240.22
+34.3%
11.7%Mex$305.00Mex$208.00n/a12
Nov ’25Mex$196.15
Mex$245.30
+25.1%
12.3%Mex$305.00Mex$210.00n/a12
Oct ’25Mex$194.36
Mex$249.69
+28.5%
11.9%Mex$305.00Mex$210.00n/a11
Sep ’25Mex$201.45
Mex$248.38
+23.3%
12.4%Mex$305.00Mex$200.00n/a12
Aug ’25Mex$205.76
Mex$248.38
+20.7%
12.4%Mex$305.00Mex$200.00n/a12
Jul ’25Mex$198.67
Mex$253.46
+27.6%
10.7%Mex$305.00Mex$210.00n/a10
Jun ’25Mex$194.54
Mex$257.36
+32.3%
9.4%Mex$305.00Mex$213.00n/a10
May ’25Mex$200.41
Mex$255.36
+27.4%
9.5%Mex$305.00Mex$213.00n/a10
Apr ’25Mex$215.29
Mex$256.83
+19.3%
11.2%Mex$324.00Mex$213.00n/a11
Mar ’25Mex$212.48
Mex$253.51
+19.3%
12.8%Mex$324.00Mex$200.00n/a12
Feb ’25Mex$240.05
Mex$244.05
+1.7%
13.3%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
Jan ’25Mex$221.00
Mex$241.82
+9.4%
13.2%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00n/a13
Dec ’24Mex$218.63
Mex$241.82
+10.6%
13.2%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00Mex$178.8513
Nov ’24Mex$209.30
Mex$235.98
+12.7%
13.0%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00Mex$196.1513
Oct ’24Mex$190.33
Mex$228.79
+20.2%
11.5%Mex$286.00Mex$189.00Mex$194.3612
Sep ’24Mex$190.60
Mex$224.05
+17.5%
11.7%Mex$286.00Mex$189.00Mex$201.4511
Aug ’24Mex$189.36
Mex$218.79
+15.5%
12.3%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00Mex$205.7612
Jul ’24Mex$189.53
Mex$215.98
+14.0%
12.2%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00Mex$198.6713
Jun ’24Mex$177.72
Mex$216.44
+21.8%
12.3%Mex$299.00Mex$189.00Mex$194.5413
May ’24Mex$174.92
Mex$209.69
+19.9%
13.9%Mex$299.00Mex$181.00Mex$200.4113
Apr ’24Mex$171.80
Mex$206.64
+20.3%
14.2%Mex$299.00Mex$175.00Mex$215.2914
Mar ’24Mex$169.44
Mex$205.98
+21.6%
14.3%Mex$299.00Mex$175.00Mex$212.4814
Feb ’24Mex$163.00
Mex$186.40
+14.4%
11.0%Mex$220.00Mex$151.00Mex$240.0511
Jan ’24Mex$151.63
Mex$187.10
+23.4%
10.6%Mex$220.00Mex$151.00Mex$221.0011
Dec ’23Mex$152.19
Mex$187.10
+22.9%
10.6%Mex$220.00Mex$151.00Mex$218.6311

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 01:33
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 30 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Antonio Hernandez Velez LeijaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
David BelaundeBarclays
Benjamin TheurerBarclays