Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:GRUMA B Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$117.1b

Gruma. de Valuation

Is GRUMA B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRUMA B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$364.26
Fair Value
11.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: GRUMA B (MX$322.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$364.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRUMA B is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRUMA B?

Key metric: As GRUMA B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GRUMA B. This is calculated by dividing GRUMA B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GRUMA B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsUS$497.37m
Market CapUS$5.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRUMA B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRUMA B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
BACHOCO B Industrias Bachoco. de
14xn/aMex$50.9b
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
17.8x7.6%Mex$214.0b
BAFAR B Grupo Bafar. de
11.4xn/aMex$36.3b
HERDEZ * Grupo Herdez. de
12.8x16.6%Mex$17.8b
GRUMA B Gruma. de
11.2x4.3%Mex$117.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRUMA B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (14x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRUMA B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRUMA B 11.2xIndustry Avg. 10.1xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRUMA B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the South American Food industry average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRUMA B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRUMA B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GRUMA B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRUMA B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$322.62
Mex$398.77
+23.6%
10.2%Mex$460.00Mex$301.00n/a13
Jan ’26Mex$325.90
Mex$399.00
+22.4%
9.5%Mex$460.00Mex$301.00n/a12
Dec ’25Mex$344.96
Mex$392.92
+13.9%
10.0%Mex$450.00Mex$301.00n/a13
Nov ’25Mex$345.18
Mex$391.38
+13.4%
10.0%Mex$450.00Mex$301.00n/a13
Oct ’25Mex$365.63
Mex$381.83
+4.4%
11.3%Mex$450.00Mex$301.00n/a12
Sep ’25Mex$361.43
Mex$378.08
+4.6%
11.3%Mex$450.00Mex$301.00n/a12
Aug ’25Mex$347.01
Mex$370.27
+6.7%
10.0%Mex$440.00Mex$301.00n/a13
Jul ’25Mex$328.95
Mex$354.88
+7.9%
8.9%Mex$414.00Mex$301.00n/a13
Jun ’25Mex$329.30
Mex$352.21
+7.0%
9.2%Mex$414.00Mex$301.00n/a14
May ’25Mex$336.46
Mex$352.21
+4.7%
9.2%Mex$414.00Mex$301.00n/a14
Apr ’25Mex$311.46
Mex$347.00
+11.4%
8.8%Mex$414.00Mex$301.00n/a14
Mar ’25Mex$302.62
Mex$345.93
+14.3%
8.5%Mex$414.00Mex$301.00n/a14
Feb ’25Mex$315.92
Mex$339.19
+7.4%
8.4%Mex$380.00Mex$280.00n/a14
Jan ’25Mex$311.14
Mex$336.76
+8.2%
8.2%Mex$380.00Mex$280.00Mex$325.9014
Dec ’24Mex$318.95
Mex$336.17
+5.4%
8.5%Mex$380.00Mex$280.00Mex$344.9613
Nov ’24Mex$317.11
Mex$338.78
+6.8%
9.3%Mex$385.00Mex$280.00Mex$345.1813
Oct ’24Mex$298.48
Mex$329.94
+10.5%
12.0%Mex$385.00Mex$240.00Mex$365.6312
Sep ’24Mex$290.49
Mex$328.41
+13.1%
11.7%Mex$385.00Mex$240.00Mex$361.4313
Aug ’24Mex$298.46
Mex$319.25
+7.0%
10.4%Mex$371.00Mex$240.00Mex$347.0113
Jul ’24Mex$274.78
Mex$308.72
+12.4%
12.4%Mex$371.00Mex$235.00Mex$328.9514
Jun ’24Mex$267.01
Mex$303.72
+13.7%
11.8%Mex$371.00Mex$235.00Mex$329.3014
May ’24Mex$281.43
Mex$296.58
+5.4%
12.6%Mex$371.00Mex$240.00Mex$336.4614
Apr ’24Mex$265.84
Mex$291.17
+9.5%
11.3%Mex$371.00Mex$246.00Mex$311.4613
Mar ’24Mex$267.63
Mex$281.66
+5.2%
13.8%Mex$371.00Mex$210.00Mex$302.6214
Feb ’24Mex$276.54
Mex$279.01
+0.9%
14.5%Mex$371.00Mex$210.00Mex$315.9214
Jan ’24Mex$260.74
Mex$275.80
+5.8%
14.8%Mex$371.00Mex$210.00Mex$311.1414
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Mex$398.77
Fair Value
19.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/17 12:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 28 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Antonio Hernandez Velez LeijaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Jose De La Luz LopezBarclays
Benjamin TheurerBarclays