We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Gruma. de Valuation

Is GRUMA B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRUMA B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GRUMA B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.9x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRUMA B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRUMA B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.9x
BACHOCO B Industrias Bachoco. de
11.3xn/aMex$50.0b
BAFAR B Grupo Bafar. de
11xn/aMex$28.8b
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
13.5x-3.1%Mex$409.5b
HERDEZ * Grupo Herdez. de
15.7x1.3%Mex$14.6b
GRUMA B Gruma. de
17.5x11.1%Mex$101.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRUMA B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRUMA B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRUMA B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the South American Food industry average (9.6x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRUMA B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRUMA B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GRUMA B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRUMA B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRUMA B (MX$274.23) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$200.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRUMA B is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRUMA B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$274.23
Mex$303.72
+10.8%
11.8%Mex$371.00Mex$235.00n/a14
May ’24Mex$281.43
Mex$296.58
+5.4%
12.6%Mex$371.00Mex$240.00n/a14
Apr ’24Mex$265.84
Mex$285.37
+7.3%
13.3%Mex$371.00Mex$210.00n/a14
Mar ’24Mex$267.63
Mex$281.66
+5.2%
13.8%Mex$371.00Mex$210.00n/a14
Feb ’24Mex$276.54
Mex$279.01
+0.9%
14.5%Mex$371.00Mex$210.00n/a14
Jan ’24Mex$260.74
Mex$275.80
+5.8%
14.8%Mex$371.00Mex$210.00n/a14
Dec ’23Mex$241.16
Mex$270.86
+12.3%
15.0%Mex$371.00Mex$200.00n/a13
Nov ’23Mex$228.87
Mex$270.02
+18.0%
14.9%Mex$371.00Mex$200.00n/a13
Oct ’23Mex$192.90
Mex$274.23
+42.2%
14.0%Mex$371.00Mex$220.00n/a13
Sep ’23Mex$221.51
Mex$274.23
+23.8%
14.0%Mex$371.00Mex$220.00n/a13
Aug ’23Mex$251.01
Mex$272.15
+8.4%
14.1%Mex$371.00Mex$220.00n/a13
Jul ’23Mex$226.43
Mex$273.85
+20.9%
13.9%Mex$371.00Mex$220.00n/a13
Jun ’23Mex$233.91
Mex$276.15
+18.1%
14.4%Mex$371.00Mex$220.00Mex$267.0113
May ’23Mex$242.39
Mex$276.85
+14.2%
14.6%Mex$371.00Mex$220.00Mex$281.4313
Apr ’23Mex$252.09
Mex$278.35
+10.4%
14.8%Mex$374.00Mex$220.00Mex$265.8413
Mar ’23Mex$270.36
Mex$280.58
+3.8%
14.0%Mex$374.00Mex$220.00Mex$267.6313
Feb ’23Mex$270.74
Mex$270.15
-0.2%
11.9%Mex$343.00Mex$220.00Mex$276.5413
Jan ’23Mex$262.52
Mex$263.93
+0.5%
13.7%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$260.7414
Dec ’22Mex$254.36
Mex$259.64
+2.1%
14.6%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$241.1614
Nov ’22Mex$242.22
Mex$257.36
+6.2%
13.9%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$228.8714
Oct ’22Mex$235.05
Mex$254.71
+8.4%
13.8%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$192.9014
Sep ’22Mex$227.65
Mex$255.25
+12.1%
13.5%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$221.5114
Aug ’22Mex$215.38
Mex$251.96
+17.0%
13.5%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$251.0114
Jul ’22Mex$224.19
Mex$261.59
+16.7%
13.2%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$226.4314
Jun ’22Mex$216.56
Mex$268.66
+24.1%
13.1%Mex$343.00Mex$190.00Mex$233.9114

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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