Stock Analysis

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:FEMSAUBD) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

BMV:FEMSA UBD
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With its stock down 11% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Fomento Económico Mexicano. de (BMV:FEMSAUBD). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Fomento Económico Mexicano. de

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fomento Económico Mexicano. de is:

11% = Mex$43b ÷ Mex$377b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every MX$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn MX$0.11 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

At first glance, Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 11%, we may spare it some thought. Particularly, the exceptional 21% net income growth seen by Fomento Económico Mexicano. de over the past five years is pretty remarkable. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

As a next step, we compared Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 5.8%.

past-earnings-growth
BMV:FEMSA UBD Past Earnings Growth November 19th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is FEMSA UBD fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Fomento Económico Mexicano. de Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The three-year median payout ratio for Fomento Económico Mexicano. de is 49%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 51%. So it seems that Fomento Económico Mexicano. de is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Additionally, Fomento Económico Mexicano. de has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 67% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Fomento Económico Mexicano. de has some positive attributes. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.