Walmart Inc.

BMV:WMT * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$15.2t

Walmart Valuation

Is WMT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WMT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WMT * (MX$1855) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1551.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WMT * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WMT *?

Key metric: As WMT * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WMT *. This is calculated by dividing WMT *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is WMT *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio37.4x
EarningsUS$19.68b
Market CapUS$745.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WMT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WMT * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.3x
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
17.9x9.5%Mex$975.6b
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
12.7x1.2%Mex$52.8b
COST Costco Wholesale
55.1x8.4%US$424.4b
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
15.6x13.2%Mex$121.4b
WMT * Walmart
37.4x9.8%Mex$745.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WMT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.4x) compared to the peer average (25.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WMT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WMT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.4x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WMT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WMT * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.4x
Fair PE Ratio36.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WMT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WMT * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,855.00
Mex$1,989.96
+7.3%
9.2%Mex$2,323.72Mex$1,171.97n/a38
Dec ’25Mex$1,893.00
Mex$1,954.41
+3.2%
8.0%Mex$2,138.03Mex$1,181.01n/a38
Nov ’25Mex$1,665.28
Mex$1,701.74
+2.2%
8.6%Mex$1,961.57Mex$1,120.90n/a38
Oct ’25Mex$1,589.98
Mex$1,627.04
+2.3%
8.0%Mex$1,929.42Mex$1,102.53n/a37
Sep ’25Mex$1,526.99
Mex$1,548.75
+1.4%
6.5%Mex$1,665.64Mex$1,084.60n/a36
Aug ’25Mex$1,300.03
Mex$1,366.94
+5.1%
8.1%Mex$1,601.49Mex$968.34n/a36
Jul ’25Mex$1,240.00
Mex$1,324.70
+6.8%
7.1%Mex$1,487.59Mex$955.00n/a35
Jun ’25Mex$1,097.88
Mex$1,187.47
+8.2%
6.3%Mex$1,260.00Mex$873.60n/a36
May ’25Mex$1,016.00
Mex$1,087.78
+7.1%
6.3%Mex$1,253.67Mex$835.78n/a37
Apr ’25Mex$1,003.01
Mex$1,078.82
+7.6%
6.4%Mex$1,242.31Mex$828.21n/a37
Mar ’25Mex$1,012.39
Mex$1,107.35
+9.4%
6.4%Mex$1,293.41Mex$850.93n/a37
Feb ’25Mex$952.67
Mex$1,027.62
+7.9%
6.5%Mex$1,204.61Mex$843.23n/a37
Jan ’25Mex$889.67
Mex$1,022.42
+14.9%
6.5%Mex$1,201.75Mex$841.23n/a38
Dec ’24Mex$885.34
Mex$1,033.34
+16.7%
6.4%Mex$1,211.95Mex$848.37Mex$1,893.0038
Nov ’24Mex$979.33
Mex$1,083.45
+10.6%
6.5%Mex$1,276.28Mex$881.24Mex$1,665.2838
Oct ’24Mex$950.00
Mex$1,029.69
+8.4%
6.4%Mex$1,218.16Mex$841.11Mex$1,589.9838
Sep ’24Mex$919.00
Mex$996.94
+8.5%
6.1%Mex$1,184.55Mex$817.90Mex$1,526.9938
Aug ’24Mex$893.33
Mex$950.47
+6.4%
5.8%Mex$1,172.11Mex$848.38Mex$1,300.0338
Jul ’24Mex$898.33
Mex$964.15
+7.3%
4.9%Mex$1,064.94Mex$830.19Mex$1,240.0038
Jun ’24Mex$861.17
Mex$987.09
+14.6%
4.8%Mex$1,070.48Mex$862.33Mex$1,097.8837
May ’24Mex$901.67
Mex$973.88
+8.0%
5.2%Mex$1,075.72Mex$860.57Mex$1,016.0038
Apr ’24Mex$876.67
Mex$971.04
+10.8%
5.4%Mex$1,085.56Mex$868.44Mex$1,003.0137
Mar ’24Mex$847.17
Mex$985.40
+16.3%
5.4%Mex$1,101.93Mex$881.54Mex$1,012.3937
Feb ’24Mex$896.33
Mex$994.50
+11.0%
6.1%Mex$1,086.22Mex$825.53Mex$952.6736
Jan ’24Mex$922.00
Mex$1,058.60
+14.8%
6.4%Mex$1,155.31Mex$878.03Mex$889.6737
Dec ’23Mex$975.67
Mex$1,021.28
+4.7%
6.4%Mex$1,117.42Mex$849.24Mex$885.3436

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 02:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Walmart Inc. is covered by 85 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Daniela NedialkovaAtlantic Equities LLP