Walmart Inc.

BMV:WMT * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$14.9t

Walmart Valuation

Is WMT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WMT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WMT * (MX$1891.94) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1236.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WMT * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WMT *?

Key metric: As WMT * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WMT *. This is calculated by dividing WMT *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is WMT *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio37.3x
EarningsUS$19.68b
Market CapUS$719.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WMT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WMT * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
17.4x9.5%Mex$929.0b
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
12.7x0.6%Mex$52.7b
COST Costco Wholesale
58.4x8.2%US$425.7b
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
15.7x13.0%Mex$126.3b
WMT * Walmart
37.3x9.4%Mex$719.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WMT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WMT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WMT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WMT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WMT * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.3x
Fair PE Ratio35.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WMT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WMT * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,891.94
Mex$1,972.21
+4.2%
8.3%Mex$2,169.75Mex$1,198.53n/a38
Nov ’25Mex$1,665.28
Mex$1,701.74
+2.2%
8.6%Mex$1,961.57Mex$1,120.90n/a38
Oct ’25Mex$1,589.98
Mex$1,627.04
+2.3%
8.0%Mex$1,929.42Mex$1,102.53n/a37
Sep ’25Mex$1,526.99
Mex$1,548.75
+1.4%
6.5%Mex$1,665.64Mex$1,084.60n/a36
Aug ’25Mex$1,300.03
Mex$1,366.94
+5.1%
8.1%Mex$1,601.49Mex$968.34n/a36
Jul ’25Mex$1,240.00
Mex$1,324.70
+6.8%
7.1%Mex$1,487.59Mex$955.00n/a35
Jun ’25Mex$1,097.88
Mex$1,187.47
+8.2%
6.3%Mex$1,260.00Mex$873.60n/a36
May ’25Mex$1,016.00
Mex$1,087.78
+7.1%
6.3%Mex$1,253.67Mex$835.78n/a37
Apr ’25Mex$1,003.01
Mex$1,078.82
+7.6%
6.4%Mex$1,242.31Mex$828.21n/a37
Mar ’25Mex$1,012.39
Mex$1,107.35
+9.4%
6.4%Mex$1,293.41Mex$850.93n/a37
Feb ’25Mex$952.67
Mex$1,027.62
+7.9%
6.5%Mex$1,204.61Mex$843.23n/a37
Jan ’25Mex$889.67
Mex$1,022.42
+14.9%
6.5%Mex$1,201.75Mex$841.23n/a38
Dec ’24Mex$885.34
Mex$1,033.34
+16.7%
6.4%Mex$1,211.95Mex$848.37n/a38
Nov ’24Mex$979.33
Mex$1,083.45
+10.6%
6.5%Mex$1,276.28Mex$881.24Mex$1,665.2838
Oct ’24Mex$950.00
Mex$1,029.69
+8.4%
6.4%Mex$1,218.16Mex$841.11Mex$1,589.9838
Sep ’24Mex$919.00
Mex$996.94
+8.5%
6.1%Mex$1,184.55Mex$817.90Mex$1,526.9938
Aug ’24Mex$893.33
Mex$950.47
+6.4%
5.8%Mex$1,172.11Mex$848.38Mex$1,300.0338
Jul ’24Mex$898.33
Mex$964.15
+7.3%
4.9%Mex$1,064.94Mex$830.19Mex$1,240.0038
Jun ’24Mex$861.17
Mex$987.09
+14.6%
4.8%Mex$1,070.48Mex$862.33Mex$1,097.8837
May ’24Mex$901.67
Mex$973.88
+8.0%
5.2%Mex$1,075.72Mex$860.57Mex$1,016.0038
Apr ’24Mex$876.67
Mex$971.04
+10.8%
5.4%Mex$1,085.56Mex$868.44Mex$1,003.0137
Mar ’24Mex$847.17
Mex$985.40
+16.3%
5.4%Mex$1,101.93Mex$881.54Mex$1,012.3937
Feb ’24Mex$896.33
Mex$994.50
+11.0%
6.1%Mex$1,086.22Mex$825.53Mex$952.6736
Jan ’24Mex$922.00
Mex$1,058.60
+14.8%
6.4%Mex$1,155.31Mex$878.03Mex$889.6737
Dec ’23Mex$975.67
Mex$1,021.28
+4.7%
6.4%Mex$1,117.42Mex$849.24Mex$885.3436
Nov ’23Mex$940.33
Mex$1,006.87
+7.1%
6.0%Mex$1,122.82Mex$858.62Mex$979.3336

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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