Target Corporation

BMV:TGT * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.2t

Target Valuation

Is TGT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TGT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TGT * (MX$2666.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4643.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TGT * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TGT *?

Key metric: As TGT * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TGT *. This is calculated by dividing TGT *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is TGT *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsUS$4.37b
Market CapUS$57.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TGT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TGT * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15x
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
17.3x9.5%Mex$933.2b
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
12.5x0.6%Mex$53.4b
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
16.3x13.0%Mex$125.8b
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de
13.7x13.9%Mex$70.6b
TGT * Target
13.7x4.5%Mex$57.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TGT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TGT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TGT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TGT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TGT * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TGT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TGT * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$2,666.75
Mex$2,909.84
+9.1%
11.9%Mex$3,453.13Mex$2,092.19n/a32
Nov ’25Mex$3,000.00
Mex$3,493.87
+16.5%
10.2%Mex$4,017.30Mex$2,390.29n/a32
Oct ’25Mex$3,066.86
Mex$3,403.41
+11.0%
10.7%Mex$4,060.08Mex$2,300.71n/a32
Sep ’25Mex$2,990.01
Mex$3,466.42
+15.9%
10.8%Mex$4,124.30Mex$2,337.10n/a31
Aug ’25Mex$2,769.00
Mex$3,263.06
+17.8%
10.9%Mex$3,942.14Mex$2,177.56n/a31
Jul ’25Mex$2,719.91
Mex$3,218.95
+18.3%
11.0%Mex$3,874.12Mex$2,139.99n/a30
Jun ’25Mex$2,596.22
Mex$2,945.41
+13.4%
9.1%Mex$3,505.09Mex$2,269.96n/a29
May ’25Mex$2,745.00
Mex$3,089.88
+12.6%
9.6%Mex$3,677.43Mex$2,273.32n/a30
Apr ’25Mex$3,000.00
Mex$3,066.02
+2.2%
9.1%Mex$3,492.62Mex$2,261.88n/a30
Mar ’25Mex$2,621.01
Mex$2,683.66
+2.4%
8.9%Mex$3,063.35Mex$2,246.46n/a30
Feb ’25Mex$2,419.00
Mex$2,622.25
+8.4%
10.2%Mex$3,088.57Mex$2,144.84n/a30
Jan ’25Mex$2,410.00
Mex$2,580.56
+7.1%
11.0%Mex$3,090.22Mex$1,991.48n/a31
Dec ’24Mex$2,310.00
Mex$2,560.06
+10.8%
10.6%Mex$3,092.96Mex$1,993.24n/a31
Nov ’24Mex$1,952.50
Mex$2,678.94
+37.2%
12.8%Mex$3,331.60Mex$2,100.35Mex$3,000.0031
Oct ’24Mex$1,971.19
Mex$2,579.37
+30.9%
11.3%Mex$3,202.02Mex$2,088.28Mex$3,066.8630
Sep ’24Mex$2,152.00
Mex$2,526.24
+17.4%
11.3%Mex$3,113.67Mex$2,030.65Mex$2,990.0130
Aug ’24Mex$2,245.00
Mex$2,843.83
+26.7%
12.1%Mex$3,709.49Mex$2,191.97Mex$2,769.0030
Jul ’24Mex$2,260.00
Mex$2,966.31
+31.3%
11.7%Mex$3,778.81Mex$2,232.93Mex$2,719.9131
Jun ’24Mex$2,300.00
Mex$3,125.06
+35.9%
9.6%Mex$3,861.75Mex$2,527.69Mex$2,596.2232
May ’24Mex$2,835.00
Mex$3,272.53
+15.4%
9.3%Mex$3,944.29Mex$2,778.93Mex$2,745.0032
Apr ’24Mex$2,900.03
Mex$3,314.90
+14.3%
9.2%Mex$3,980.37Mex$2,804.35Mex$3,000.0032
Mar ’24Mex$2,920.00
Mex$3,307.74
+13.3%
9.5%Mex$3,982.64Mex$2,805.95Mex$2,621.0132
Feb ’24Mex$3,247.00
Mex$3,322.53
+2.3%
10.6%Mex$4,003.52Mex$2,644.18Mex$2,419.0031
Jan ’24Mex$2,933.69
Mex$3,517.55
+19.9%
10.2%Mex$4,250.31Mex$2,846.72Mex$2,410.0030
Dec ’23Mex$3,199.05
Mex$3,490.04
+9.1%
10.2%Mex$4,202.48Mex$2,814.68Mex$2,310.0029
Nov ’23Mex$3,321.00
Mex$3,815.98
+14.9%
8.1%Mex$4,465.86Mex$3,224.23Mex$1,952.5029

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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