Target Valuation
Is TGT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of TGT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: TGT * (MX$2719) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$3058.02)
Significantly Below Fair Value: TGT * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TGT *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is TGT *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$73.83b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.8x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10.3x |
PEG Ratio | 2.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does TGT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 16.6x | ||
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de | 21.8x | 9.0% | Mex$1.1t |
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V | 12.6x | 8.1% | Mex$59.9b |
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de | 14.9x | 9.1% | Mex$118.6b |
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de | 17.2x | 7.9% | Mex$77.4b |
TGT * Target | 17.8x | 6.5% | Mex$73.8b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TGT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does TGT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TGT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (17.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is TGT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 17.8x |
Fair PE Ratio | 17.4x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TGT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$2,719.00 | Mex$3,114.67 +14.6% | 9.8% | Mex$3,717.52 | Mex$2,298.10 | n/a | 29 |
May ’25 | Mex$2,745.00 | Mex$3,089.88 +12.6% | 9.6% | Mex$3,677.43 | Mex$2,273.32 | n/a | 30 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$3,000.00 | Mex$3,066.02 +2.2% | 9.1% | Mex$3,492.62 | Mex$2,261.88 | n/a | 30 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$2,621.01 | Mex$2,683.66 +2.4% | 8.9% | Mex$3,063.35 | Mex$2,246.46 | n/a | 30 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$2,419.00 | Mex$2,622.25 +8.4% | 10.2% | Mex$3,088.57 | Mex$2,144.84 | n/a | 30 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$2,410.00 | Mex$2,580.56 +7.1% | 11.0% | Mex$3,090.22 | Mex$1,991.48 | n/a | 31 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$2,310.00 | Mex$2,560.06 +10.8% | 10.6% | Mex$3,092.96 | Mex$1,993.24 | n/a | 31 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$1,952.50 | Mex$2,678.94 +37.2% | 12.8% | Mex$3,331.60 | Mex$2,100.35 | n/a | 31 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$1,971.19 | Mex$2,579.37 +30.9% | 11.3% | Mex$3,202.02 | Mex$2,088.28 | n/a | 30 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$2,152.00 | Mex$2,526.24 +17.4% | 11.3% | Mex$3,113.67 | Mex$2,030.65 | n/a | 30 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$2,245.00 | Mex$2,843.83 +26.7% | 12.1% | Mex$3,709.49 | Mex$2,191.97 | n/a | 30 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$2,260.00 | Mex$2,966.31 +31.3% | 11.7% | Mex$3,778.81 | Mex$2,232.93 | n/a | 31 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$2,300.00 | Mex$3,125.06 +35.9% | 9.6% | Mex$3,861.75 | Mex$2,527.69 | n/a | 32 |
May ’24 | Mex$2,835.00 | Mex$3,272.53 +15.4% | 9.3% | Mex$3,944.29 | Mex$2,778.93 | Mex$2,745.00 | 32 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$2,900.03 | Mex$3,314.90 +14.3% | 9.2% | Mex$3,980.37 | Mex$2,804.35 | Mex$3,000.00 | 32 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$2,920.00 | Mex$3,307.74 +13.3% | 9.5% | Mex$3,982.64 | Mex$2,805.95 | Mex$2,621.01 | 32 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$3,247.00 | Mex$3,322.53 +2.3% | 10.6% | Mex$4,003.52 | Mex$2,644.18 | Mex$2,419.00 | 31 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$2,933.69 | Mex$3,517.55 +19.9% | 10.2% | Mex$4,250.31 | Mex$2,846.72 | Mex$2,410.00 | 30 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$3,199.05 | Mex$3,490.04 +9.1% | 10.2% | Mex$4,202.48 | Mex$2,814.68 | Mex$2,310.00 | 29 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$3,321.00 | Mex$3,815.98 +14.9% | 8.1% | Mex$4,465.86 | Mex$3,224.23 | Mex$1,952.50 | 29 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$3,003.65 | Mex$3,872.85 +28.9% | 8.5% | Mex$4,548.89 | Mex$3,263.78 | Mex$1,971.19 | 29 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$3,306.00 | Mex$3,824.52 +15.7% | 8.3% | Mex$4,492.25 | Mex$3,243.28 | Mex$2,152.00 | 28 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$3,381.00 | Mex$3,750.25 +10.9% | 9.6% | Mex$4,706.37 | Mex$3,056.09 | Mex$2,245.00 | 28 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$2,854.00 | Mex$3,586.05 +25.6% | 10.2% | Mex$4,604.94 | Mex$2,950.35 | Mex$2,260.00 | 27 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$3,094.50 | Mex$3,888.21 +25.6% | 11.8% | Mex$5,018.81 | Mex$3,247.46 | Mex$2,300.00 | 27 |
May ’23 | Mex$4,723.03 | Mex$5,423.60 +14.8% | 11.4% | Mex$7,000.59 | Mex$3,728.36 | Mex$2,835.00 | 27 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.