Stock Analysis

Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's (BMV:CHDRAUIB) investors will be pleased with their fantastic 392% return over the last five years

BMV:CHDRAUI B
Source: Shutterstock

Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:CHDRAUIB) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 16% in the last quarter. But over five years returns have been remarkably great. To be precise, the stock price is 360% higher than it was five years ago, a wonderful performance by any measure. Arguably, the recent fall is to be expected after such a strong rise. But the real question is whether the business fundamentals can improve over the long term.

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over half a decade, Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de managed to grow its earnings per share at 41% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 36% per year. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
BMV:CHDRAUI B Earnings Per Share Growth December 28th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de the TSR over the last 5 years was 392%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 25% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. However, that falls short of the 38% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Mexican exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.