- Mexico
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- Food and Staples Retail
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- BMV:CHDRAUI B
Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's (BMV:CHDRAUIB) five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth
We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. While the best companies are hard to find, but they can generate massive returns over long periods. Just think about the savvy investors who held Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:CHDRAUIB) shares for the last five years, while they gained 475%. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. In the last week shares have slid back 3.7%.
Although Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de has shed Mex$5.2b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During five years of share price growth, Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 27% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 42% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de, it has a TSR of 510% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Investors in Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de had a tough year, with a total loss of 1.3% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 44% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Before forming an opinion on Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.
We will like Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Mexican exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:CHDRAUI B
Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
Operates self–service and real estate stores in Mexico and the United States.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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