Caterpillar Valuation
Is CAT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CAT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CAT * (MX$5915) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$6535.55)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CAT * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAT *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is CAT *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$174.07b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.1x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13x |
PEG Ratio | -7.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CAT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 17x | ||
GCARSO A1 Grupo Carso. de | 25x | 27.0% | Mex$319.4b |
VOLV B AB Volvo | 11.4x | 1.9% | kr583.7b |
PCAR PACCAR | 11.3x | -2.8% | US$56.8b |
CMI Cummins | 20.3x | 11.1% | US$39.1b |
CAT * Caterpillar | 15.2x | -1.9% | Mex$174.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CAT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Machinery Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the Global Machinery industry average (21.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CAT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 15.2x |
Fair PE Ratio | 24.3x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CAT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$5,915.00 | Mex$5,763.30 -2.6% | 19.5% | Mex$7,842.57 | Mex$2,957.87 | n/a | 26 |
May ’25 | Mex$5,902.31 | Mex$5,670.34 -3.9% | 18.7% | Mex$7,504.85 | Mex$2,978.12 | n/a | 27 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$6,078.00 | Mex$5,298.00 -12.8% | 18.2% | Mex$7,358.88 | Mex$2,920.19 | n/a | 27 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$5,726.95 | Mex$5,318.66 -7.1% | 17.5% | Mex$7,547.58 | Mex$2,995.07 | n/a | 26 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$5,229.33 | Mex$4,771.08 -8.8% | 17.9% | Mex$7,381.37 | Mex$2,990.14 | n/a | 26 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$5,030.10 | Mex$4,567.89 -9.2% | 15.5% | Mex$6,200.84 | Mex$2,973.01 | n/a | 25 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$4,375.00 | Mex$4,579.07 +4.7% | 15.7% | Mex$6,287.09 | Mex$3,014.36 | n/a | 25 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$4,140.50 | Mex$4,872.85 +17.7% | 16.2% | Mex$6,501.49 | Mex$3,117.15 | n/a | 24 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$4,869.53 | Mex$5,038.03 +3.5% | 15.2% | Mex$6,436.79 | Mex$3,094.61 | n/a | 24 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$4,800.00 | Mex$4,762.58 -0.8% | 15.8% | Mex$6,105.01 | Mex$2,935.10 | n/a | 25 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$4,790.02 | Mex$4,379.22 -8.6% | 16.3% | Mex$5,918.32 | Mex$2,950.73 | n/a | 25 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$4,171.00 | Mex$4,236.25 +1.6% | 15.9% | Mex$6,006.31 | Mex$2,994.60 | n/a | 25 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$3,690.00 | Mex$4,292.84 +16.3% | 15.9% | Mex$6,102.50 | Mex$3,095.47 | n/a | 26 |
May ’24 | Mex$3,962.00 | Mex$4,391.54 +10.8% | 16.3% | Mex$6,185.37 | Mex$3,137.51 | Mex$5,902.31 | 25 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$4,100.00 | Mex$4,592.35 +12.0% | 16.0% | Mex$6,142.30 | Mex$3,189.62 | Mex$6,078.00 | 26 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$4,484.10 | Mex$4,675.61 +4.3% | 15.1% | Mex$6,192.75 | Mex$3,215.82 | Mex$5,726.95 | 25 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$4,674.88 | Mex$4,770.16 +2.0% | 14.1% | Mex$6,275.28 | Mex$3,537.99 | Mex$5,229.33 | 24 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$4,653.00 | Mex$4,607.18 -1.0% | 13.3% | Mex$5,598.77 | Mex$3,437.84 | Mex$5,030.10 | 25 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$4,556.00 | Mex$4,472.96 -1.8% | 13.9% | Mex$5,521.36 | Mex$3,370.94 | Mex$4,375.00 | 25 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$4,300.00 | Mex$4,448.86 +3.5% | 12.6% | Mex$5,600.45 | Mex$3,431.26 | Mex$4,140.50 | 25 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$3,309.50 | Mex$4,345.89 +31.3% | 17.2% | Mex$6,605.43 | Mex$2,859.67 | Mex$4,869.53 | 25 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$3,765.00 | Mex$4,359.05 +15.8% | 18.5% | Mex$7,001.05 | Mex$2,840.43 | Mex$4,800.00 | 25 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$3,997.00 | Mex$4,618.13 +15.5% | 18.1% | Mex$7,162.12 | Mex$2,905.77 | Mex$4,790.02 | 25 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$3,605.00 | Mex$4,803.58 +33.2% | 14.9% | Mex$7,045.15 | Mex$3,240.77 | Mex$4,171.00 | 25 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$4,301.00 | Mex$4,771.89 +10.9% | 15.1% | Mex$6,940.50 | Mex$3,252.12 | Mex$3,690.00 | 25 |
May ’23 | Mex$4,329.82 | Mex$4,897.27 +13.1% | 15.0% | Mex$7,081.82 | Mex$3,347.03 | Mex$3,962.00 | 25 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.