Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:GCARSO A1 Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$277.4b

Grupo Carso. de Valuation

Is GCARSO A1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GCARSO A1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$80.98
Fair Value
51.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: GCARSO A1 (MX$123) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$80.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GCARSO A1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GCARSO A1?

Key metric: As GCARSO A1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GCARSO A1. This is calculated by dividing GCARSO A1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GCARSO A1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.5x
EarningsMex$14.97b
Market CapMex$277.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GCARSO A1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GCARSO A1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.1x
IDEAL B-1 Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina. de
13.6xn/aMex$110.6b
ASII Astra International
5.6x1.0%Rp189.5t
A028260 Samsung C&T
10x10.7%₩21.0t
LIFCO B Lifco
55.1x15.4%SEK 181.8b
GCARSO A1 Grupo Carso. de
18.5x0.2%Mex$277.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GCARSO A1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (21.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GCARSO A1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrials Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCARSO A1 18.5xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies25PE01020304050+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GCARSO A1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the Global Industrials industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GCARSO A1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GCARSO A1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GCARSO A1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GCARSO A1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$123.00
Mex$125.03
+1.7%
30.9%Mex$178.10Mex$87.00n/a3
Feb ’26Mex$118.80
Mex$125.03
+5.2%
30.9%Mex$178.10Mex$87.00n/a3
Jan ’26Mex$115.28
Mex$120.70
+4.7%
35.8%Mex$178.10Mex$74.00n/a3
Dec ’25Mex$121.72
Mex$124.03
+1.9%
34.3%Mex$178.10Mex$74.00n/a3
Nov ’25Mex$122.09
Mex$124.03
+1.6%
34.3%Mex$178.10Mex$74.00n/a3
Oct ’25Mex$121.90
Mex$124.03
+1.8%
34.3%Mex$178.10Mex$74.00n/a3
Sep ’25Mex$118.26
Mex$124.03
+4.9%
34.3%Mex$178.10Mex$74.00n/a3
Aug ’25Mex$119.07
Mex$124.03
+4.2%
34.3%Mex$178.10Mex$74.00n/a3
Jul ’25Mex$131.59
Mex$123.27
-6.3%
33.8%Mex$175.80Mex$74.00n/a3
Jun ’25Mex$131.06
Mex$123.27
-5.9%
33.8%Mex$175.80Mex$74.00n/a3
May ’25Mex$134.73
Mex$119.05
-11.6%
30.9%Mex$175.80Mex$74.00n/a4
Apr ’25Mex$148.14
Mex$125.70
-15.1%
14.7%Mex$150.70Mex$106.40n/a3
Mar ’25Mex$146.53
Mex$125.70
-14.2%
14.7%Mex$150.70Mex$106.40n/a3
Feb ’25Mex$155.55
Mex$125.70
-19.2%
14.7%Mex$150.70Mex$106.40Mex$118.803
Jan ’25Mex$189.59
Mex$125.70
-33.7%
14.7%Mex$150.70Mex$106.40Mex$115.283
Dec ’24Mex$157.24
Mex$125.70
-20.1%
14.7%Mex$150.70Mex$106.40Mex$121.723
Nov ’24Mex$116.47
Mex$108.50
-6.8%
10.6%Mex$120.00Mex$97.00Mex$122.092
Oct ’24Mex$127.66
Mex$93.33
-26.9%
25.1%Mex$120.00Mex$63.00Mex$121.903
Sep ’24Mex$132.23
Mex$80.00
-39.5%
21.3%Mex$97.00Mex$63.00Mex$118.262
Aug ’24Mex$130.12
Mex$80.00
-38.5%
21.3%Mex$97.00Mex$63.00Mex$119.072
Jul ’24Mex$124.34
Mex$80.00
-35.7%
21.3%Mex$97.00Mex$63.00Mex$131.592
Jun ’24Mex$107.14
Mex$80.00
-25.3%
21.3%Mex$97.00Mex$63.00Mex$131.062
May ’24Mex$101.49
Mex$80.00
-21.2%
21.3%Mex$97.00Mex$63.00Mex$134.732
Apr ’24Mex$89.56
Mex$80.00
-10.7%
21.3%Mex$97.00Mex$63.00Mex$148.142
Mar ’24Mex$88.77
Mex$67.50
-24.0%
12.7%Mex$79.50Mex$60.00Mex$146.533
Feb ’24Mex$95.48
Mex$67.50
-29.3%
12.7%Mex$79.50Mex$60.00Mex$155.553
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Mex$125.03
Fair Value
1.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/16 12:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/14 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 7 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Carlos Alcaraz PinedaApalache Análisis
Miguel Ulloa SuárezBBVA Corporate and Investment Bank
null nullBofA Global Research