Grupo Carso. de Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GCARSO A1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GCARSO A1 (MX$141.74) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$37.85)

Is GCARSO A1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GCARSO A1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GCARSO A1 (MX$141.74) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$37.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GCARSO A1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GCARSO A1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for GCARSO A1. This is calculated by dividing GCARSO A1's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is GCARSO A1's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	Mex$304.04b

GCARSO A1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.5x
PEG Ratio	1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GCARSO A1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GCARSO A1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	17.1x
KUO B Grupo KUO. de	26.5x	n/a	Mex$19.6b
IDEAL B-1 Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina. de	16.3x	n/a	Mex$111.5b
SM SM Investments	15x	10.3%	₱1.1t
A028260 Samsung C&T	10.7x	6.9%	₩23.9t
GCARSO A1 Grupo Carso. de	25x	26.2%	Mex$304.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GCARSO A1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GCARSO A1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrials Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	14.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	14.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GCARSO A1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the Global Industrials industry average (13x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GCARSO A1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GCARSO A1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	25x
Fair PE Ratio	32.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GCARSO A1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GCARSO A1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$141.74	Mex$134.07 -5.4%	22.4%	Mex$175.80	Mex$106.40	n/a	3
Apr ’25	Mex$148.14	Mex$125.70 -15.1%	14.7%	Mex$150.70	Mex$106.40	n/a	3
Mar ’25	Mex$146.53	Mex$125.70 -14.2%	14.7%	Mex$150.70	Mex$106.40	n/a	3
Feb ’25	Mex$155.55	Mex$125.70 -19.2%	14.7%	Mex$150.70	Mex$106.40	n/a	3
Jan ’25	Mex$189.59	Mex$125.70 -33.7%	14.7%	Mex$150.70	Mex$106.40	n/a	3
Dec ’24	Mex$157.24	Mex$125.70 -20.1%	14.7%	Mex$150.70	Mex$106.40	n/a	3
Nov ’24	Mex$116.47	Mex$108.50 -6.8%	10.6%	Mex$120.00	Mex$97.00	n/a	2
Oct ’24	Mex$127.66	Mex$93.33 -26.9%	25.1%	Mex$120.00	Mex$63.00	n/a	3
Sep ’24	Mex$132.23	Mex$80.00 -39.5%	21.3%	Mex$97.00	Mex$63.00	n/a	2
Aug ’24	Mex$130.12	Mex$80.00 -38.5%	21.3%	Mex$97.00	Mex$63.00	n/a	2
Jul ’24	Mex$124.34	Mex$80.00 -35.7%	21.3%	Mex$97.00	Mex$63.00	n/a	2
Jun ’24	Mex$107.14	Mex$80.00 -25.3%	21.3%	Mex$97.00	Mex$63.00	n/a	2
May ’24	Mex$101.49	Mex$80.00 -21.2%	21.3%	Mex$97.00	Mex$63.00	Mex$134.73	2
Apr ’24	Mex$89.56	Mex$80.00 -10.7%	21.3%	Mex$97.00	Mex$63.00	Mex$148.14	2
Mar ’24	Mex$88.77	Mex$67.50 -24.0%	12.7%	Mex$79.50	Mex$60.00	Mex$146.53	3
Feb ’24	Mex$95.48	Mex$67.50 -29.3%	12.7%	Mex$79.50	Mex$60.00	Mex$155.55	3
Jan ’24	Mex$81.77	Mex$67.17 -17.9%	13.0%	Mex$79.50	Mex$60.00	Mex$189.59	3
Dec ’23	Mex$86.18	Mex$67.17 -22.1%	13.0%	Mex$79.50	Mex$60.00	Mex$157.24	3
Nov ’23	Mex$81.80	Mex$67.17 -17.9%	13.0%	Mex$79.50	Mex$60.00	Mex$116.47	3
Oct ’23	Mex$73.76	Mex$67.17 -8.9%	13.0%	Mex$79.50	Mex$60.00	Mex$127.66	3
Sep ’23	Mex$68.14	Mex$68.00 -0.2%	8.8%	Mex$74.00	Mex$62.00	Mex$132.23	2
Aug ’23	Mex$81.26	Mex$68.00 -16.3%	8.8%	Mex$74.00	Mex$62.00	Mex$130.12	2
Jul ’23	Mex$74.50	Mex$68.00 -8.7%	8.8%	Mex$74.00	Mex$62.00	Mex$124.34	2
Jun ’23	Mex$79.36	Mex$68.00 -14.3%	8.8%	Mex$74.00	Mex$62.00	Mex$107.14	2
May ’23	Mex$66.66	Mex$68.00 +2.0%	8.8%	Mex$74.00	Mex$62.00	Mex$101.49	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.