AB Volvo Valuation

Is VOLV B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOLV B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOLV B (SEK277) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK350.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOLV B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOLV B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VOLV B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.4x
PEG Ratio6.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOLV B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOLV B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.4x
EPI A Epiroc
28.3x8.8%kr250.7b
ENGCON B engcon
75.7x36.2%kr13.8b
VBG B VBG Group
15.5x6.6%kr9.6b
ATCO A Atlas Copco
33.9x7.4%kr932.4b
VOLV B AB Volvo
11x1.8%kr567.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOLV B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the peer average (38.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOLV B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOLV B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the Swedish Machinery industry average (27.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOLV B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOLV B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11x
Fair PE Ratio23.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VOLV B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VOLV B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr277.00
kr312.58
+12.8%
10.6%kr360.00kr251.00n/a19
May ’25kr283.40
kr312.58
+10.3%
10.6%kr360.00kr251.00n/a19
Apr ’25kr290.10
kr298.53
+2.9%
12.6%kr359.00kr240.00n/a17
Mar ’25kr289.95
kr275.22
-5.1%
15.0%kr359.00kr201.00n/a18
Feb ’25kr253.25
kr270.11
+6.7%
13.8%kr341.00kr201.00n/a18
Jan ’25kr261.70
kr260.83
-0.3%
13.7%kr315.00kr201.00n/a18
Dec ’24kr245.05
kr259.28
+5.8%
14.2%kr315.00kr201.00n/a18
Nov ’24kr217.35
kr251.68
+15.8%
14.3%kr315.00kr201.00n/a19
Oct ’24kr225.60
kr246.74
+9.4%
13.1%kr295.00kr201.00n/a19
Sep ’24kr220.00
kr243.28
+10.6%
12.9%kr295.00kr201.00n/a18
Aug ’24kr230.55
kr239.11
+3.7%
13.0%kr290.00kr193.00n/a18
Jul ’24kr223.00
kr235.06
+5.4%
13.3%kr290.00kr193.00n/a18
Jun ’24kr202.85
kr233.33
+15.0%
14.2%kr290.00kr177.00n/a18
May ’24kr210.80
kr230.50
+9.3%
14.8%kr290.00kr177.00kr283.4018
Apr ’24kr213.85
kr216.84
+1.4%
11.6%kr270.00kr166.00kr290.1019
Mar ’24kr210.65
kr217.05
+3.0%
11.9%kr270.00kr166.00kr289.9519
Feb ’24kr208.00
kr216.84
+4.3%
11.8%kr272.00kr166.00kr253.2519
Jan ’24kr188.48
kr214.63
+13.9%
11.9%kr268.00kr162.00kr261.7019
Dec ’23kr193.04
kr212.16
+9.9%
12.6%kr268.00kr162.00kr245.0519
Nov ’23kr182.46
kr215.15
+17.9%
14.3%kr276.00kr162.00kr217.3520
Oct ’23kr158.08
kr223.80
+41.6%
14.4%kr295.00kr162.00kr225.6020
Sep ’23kr164.04
kr225.35
+37.4%
14.3%kr295.00kr162.00kr220.0020
Aug ’23kr180.56
kr225.65
+25.0%
14.1%kr295.00kr162.00kr230.5520
Jul ’23kr159.72
kr224.25
+40.4%
14.1%kr295.00kr151.00kr223.0020
Jun ’23kr175.66
kr225.65
+28.5%
13.6%kr295.00kr151.00kr202.8520
May ’23kr158.44
kr223.95
+41.3%
13.2%kr291.00kr151.00kr210.8020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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