Cummins Inc.

NYSE:CMI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$74.5b

Cummins Valuation

Is CMI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of CMI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: CMI ($550.19) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($739.37)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: CMI is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMI?

Key metric: As CMI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CMI. This is calculated by dividing CMI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CMI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.7x
EarningsUS$2.84b
Market CapUS$74.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CMI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CMI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.8x
PCAR PACCAR
26.7x15.32%US$63.3b
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
36.1x15.49%US$41.7b
CAT Caterpillar
36.9x15.37%US$316.8b
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings
15.5x13.99%US$9.7b
CMI Cummins
26.7x15.33%US$74.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (28.8x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CMI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WNC Wabash National
1.7x-71.26%US$372.42m
RAIL FreightCar America
3x-14.50%US$242.88m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
GTEC Greenland Technologies Holding
1.2x-16.11%US$16.37m
No more companies available in this PE range
CMI 26.7xIndustry Avg. 26.9xNo. of Companies16PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (26.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.7x
Fair PE Ratio43.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CMI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$550.19
US$615.34
+11.84%
9.88%US$703.00US$490.00n/a19
Mar ’27US$583.87
US$613.23
+5.03%
9.89%US$703.00US$490.00n/a19
Feb ’27US$578.82
US$560.57
-3.15%
11.87%US$653.00US$450.00n/a19
Jan ’27US$510.45
US$534.30
+4.67%
11.36%US$653.00US$450.00n/a20
Dec ’26US$496.15
US$517.94
+4.39%
10.22%US$628.00US$450.00n/a19
Nov ’26US$437.68
US$444.74
+1.61%
9.03%US$500.00US$350.00n/a17
Oct ’26US$424.65
US$424.98
+0.077%
9.98%US$499.62US$350.00n/a17
Sep ’26US$398.44
US$417.61
+4.81%
9.46%US$484.34US$350.00n/a17
Aug ’26US$355.84
US$359.56
+1.05%
11.84%US$460.00US$260.00n/a16
Jul ’26US$329.62
US$353.21
+7.16%
13.21%US$460.00US$260.00n/a18
Jun ’26US$321.48
US$350.36
+8.98%
13.69%US$460.00US$260.00n/a19
May ’26US$294.88
US$342.60
+16.18%
14.86%US$460.00US$240.00n/a19
Apr ’26US$315.36
US$377.97
+19.85%
12.08%US$460.00US$281.00n/a19
Mar ’26US$368.18
US$392.11
+6.50%
12.06%US$460.00US$281.00US$583.8719
Feb ’26US$356.25
US$381.53
+7.10%
13.81%US$460.00US$281.00US$578.8219
Jan ’26US$348.60
US$380.48
+9.14%
13.90%US$460.00US$281.00US$510.4519
Dec ’25US$375.04
US$368.16
-1.83%
13.89%US$460.00US$275.32US$496.1519
Nov ’25US$328.51
US$331.43
+0.89%
12.84%US$425.00US$250.00US$437.6818
Oct ’25US$326.28
US$316.65
-2.95%
9.22%US$365.00US$250.00US$424.6518
Sep ’25US$312.85
US$316.38
+1.13%
9.32%US$365.00US$250.00US$398.4418
Aug ’25US$306.09
US$300.91
-1.69%
8.89%US$345.00US$246.00US$355.8419
Jul ’25US$272.29
US$299.76
+10.09%
8.60%US$345.00US$246.00US$329.6220
Jun ’25US$281.73
US$298.41
+5.92%
8.60%US$345.00US$246.00US$321.4820
May ’25US$283.87
US$288.42
+1.60%
9.79%US$360.00US$240.00US$294.8821
Apr ’25US$294.53
US$274.30
-6.87%
8.21%US$321.00US$237.00US$315.3620
Mar ’25US$270.26
US$266.15
-1.52%
7.43%US$303.90US$237.00US$368.1819
US$615.34
Fair Value
10.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/09 03:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/09 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Cummins Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Luke JunkBaird
Andrew KaplowitzBarclays