Cummins Inc.

NYSE:CMI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$92.4b

Cummins Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 3/6

Cummins has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 7.7%, while the Machinery industry saw earnings growing at 8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 9.2% per year. Cummins's return on equity is 20.8%, and it has net margins of 7.9%.

Key information

7.68%

Earnings growth rate

9.05%

EPS growth rate

Machinery Industry Growth8.77%
Revenue growth rate9.24%
Return on equity20.84%
Net Margin7.89%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 04

CMI: Data Center Power And Zero Emission Projects Will Guide Measured Future Returns

Cummins' updated analyst price target edges higher by about $12 to $643. Analysts point to refreshed models that factor in slightly different growth, margin and future P/E assumptions after a series of recent target changes across the Street.
Seeking Alpha Apr 22

Cummins: A Return To Growth Solidifies The Bull Case

Summary Cummins Inc. (CMI) is rated Buy, driven by robust Power Systems growth offsetting truck engine headwinds. CMI expects FY 2026 revenue growth of 3–8% and EBITDA margin expansion to 17–18%, fueled by data center power demand. Power Systems and Distribution segments are delivering double-digit growth, while Accelera hydrogen ambitions are scaled back amid persistent losses. Valuation is moderately elevated, but strong earnings growth projections and secular electricity demand trends support further upside barring a major economic downturn. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 16

CMI: Data Center Power And Zero Emission Projects Will Shape Balanced Future Upside

Analysts have lifted the Cummins fair value estimate by about $11 to $631.40, tying the move to a cluster of recent price target increases and refreshed views on revenue growth, margins, discount rates, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cummins clusters around fresh price targets, new inclusion on idea lists, and one downgrade, giving you a mix of constructive and cautious signals on execution and valuation.
Narrative Update Apr 02

CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Recovery Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Cummins' analyst price target has nudged higher, with the internal fair value estimate moving from about $613.23 to $619.92 as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue assumptions, a higher future P/E and recent target raises across several firms, even as views on margins and ratings remain mixed. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins shows active debate around where the shares should trade, with several firms lifting price targets and at least one turning more cautious on the rating, even as others add the stock to shorter term idea lists.
Narrative Update Mar 18

CMI: Rising Data Center Demand Will Support Earnings Through Next Truck Cycle Trough

The analyst price target for Cummins has increased by $123, as analysts point to updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margins. They also note a modest adjustment to the discount rate and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Mar 04

CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Trough Will Guide Future Return Balance

Our Cummins narrative update lifts the analyst price target by about $53 to reflect higher modeled fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, and analysts' recent revisions to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions following a series of target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins has been active, with a cluster of price target changes across a wide range of firms.
New Narrative Mar 03

Cummins Inc. (CMI): The Power Generation Titan – Scaling Data Center Infrastructure and Multi-Fuel Innovation in 2026.

Cummins (CMI) is currently a pivotal player in the global industrial and energy landscape, trading at $560.10 as of the March 3, 2026, close. While the stock faced a 3.5% intraday decline today amid a broader market pullback, it remains a standout performer following a robust Q4 2025 earnings beat on February 5.
Narrative Update Feb 18

CMI: Rising Data Center Demand Will Support Earnings Through Upcoming Truck Cycle Trough

The analyst fair value estimate for Cummins has been raised by $50 to $703, as analysts adjust their assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of a recent wave of higher price targets across the Street, with some offset from a downgrade and one lower target. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that Cummins is attracting a wave of constructive attention, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets higher in quick succession and only limited pushback from more cautious voices.
Narrative Update Feb 04

CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Balanced Returns

Analysts have lifted their price target on Cummins by about $10 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, a modestly lower discount rate, and small upward adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, supported by recent research that highlights data center demand and improving unit profitability across the portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins gives you a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revisiting their targets and ratings after the latest earnings and data center updates.
Narrative Update Jan 20

CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts lifted their Cummins fair value estimate by about US$18 to roughly US$550, citing higher price targets across the Street, steady tweaks to revenue growth and margin assumptions, continued interest in data center power exposure, and a stabilizing North America truck cycle. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Analysts with a bullish view are leaning into higher valuation frameworks as multiple firms have raised price targets into the US$515 to US$630 range, signaling increased confidence in Cummins’ execution and earnings power.
Narrative Update Jan 06

CMI: Data Center Demand Will Reshape Earnings Profile Through Truck Cycle Trough

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Cummins has moved from US$417.82 to US$653.00 as analysts factor in a larger US$7b data center opportunity, improving unit profitability across the portfolio, and signs that the North America truck and on highway markets may be moving past peak weakness. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more constructive on Cummins, with several bullish analysts highlighting data center exposure, earnings execution and a potentially less challenging backdrop in North America on highway markets.
Narrative Update Dec 23

CMI: Data Center Demand And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Future Performance

Our Cummins fair value estimate has increased modestly to approximately $532 from $522 per share. Analysts highlight a strengthening data center power opportunity, improving unit profitability, and signs that the North America truck cycle is nearing a trough, supporting slightly higher long term growth, margins, and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update Dec 09

CMI: Data Center Demand And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cummins higher to approximately $522 from about $510, citing a strengthening outlook for data center driven power demand, improving unit profitability across the portfolio, and early signs that the North America truck cycle is nearing a trough. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins underscores a constructive but balanced outlook, with growing confidence in the company’s ability to monetize secular data center demand while navigating a soft on highway and truck cycle.
Narrative Update Nov 25

CMI: AI-Driven Demand and Truck Cycle Shifts Will Influence Outlook Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target for Cummins from approximately $469 to $510, citing improved profitability, a resilient earnings outlook, and new opportunities related to data center and AI-related demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports on Cummins reflect both robust optimism and some caution among Wall Street analysts as the company navigates new growth avenues while managing near-term industry headwinds.
Narrative Update Nov 09

CMI: Rising Engine Demand and Sector Risks Will Shape Outlook Ahead

The analyst price target for Cummins has increased from approximately $445 to $469. Analysts cite improved revenue growth prospects, rising profit margins, and expanding market opportunities, particularly in large engine demand driven by artificial intelligence.
Narrative Update Oct 26

AI-Driven Demand and Electrification Will Unlock New Upside Opportunities

The analyst fair value estimate for Cummins has increased by approximately $13 to $444.74. This reflects heightened optimism around operational improvements, multiple expansion, and upside potential from AI-driven demand.
Narrative Update Oct 12

Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities

Analysts have increased their price target for Cummins by $7 to $432, citing anticipated revenue and margin growth potential from artificial intelligence demand as well as recent adjustments to earnings estimates. Analyst Commentary Analysts have recently provided updates on Cummins, highlighting both opportunities and potential risks facing the company as it navigates a changing market impacted by artificial intelligence and broader macro trends.
Narrative Update Sep 28

Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities

Analysts have raised Cummins’ price target to $424.98, citing underestimated revenue and margin potential from AI-driven engine expansion, recent operational improvements, and sustained sector strength, supporting a higher valuation outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight consensus underestimating Cummins’ revenue and margin potential from large engine capacity expansion driven by AI demand, with 2027 estimates materially above consensus.
Narrative Update Sep 10

Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities

Analysts have raised Cummins’ price target to $418.53, citing underestimated margin upside from large engine capacity expansion—particularly due to AI demand—alongside stronger execution and potential for multiple expansion. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite underappreciated revenue and margin potential from Cummins' capacity expansion in large engines, particularly driven by rising artificial intelligence demand.
Narrative Update Aug 07

Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities

The upward revision in Cummins’ consensus price target reflects a modest increase in its forward P/E ratio while profit margins remain stable, resulting in a new fair value estimate of $386.44 per share. What's in the News Board of Directors approved ~10% increase in quarterly common stock dividend from $1.82 to $2.00 per share.
Analysis Article Jul 14

Is Cummins (NYSE:CMI) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Jul 02

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Cummins Inc.'s (NYSE:CMI) P/E

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...
Seeking Alpha Apr 08

Cummins: Tariff Turbulence Creates A Buying Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Cummins Inc. is a resilient business poised to benefit from emissions regulations and increasing demand for electrification, despite recent stock declines due to tariffs and macroeconomic factors. Recent results show record sales and improved profitability, with strong performance in global power generation markets and a thriving aftermarket business. Management's 2025 outlook is cautiously optimistic, focusing on operational efficiencies, pricing power, and growth in Power Systems, despite near-term softness in North American truck markets. At 12.0x P/E and 7.5x EV/EBITDA, Cummins offers a strong entry point, with long-term positives outweighing short-term tariff and recession concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 21

Cummins: The Time To Buy Has Passed For Now (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Since September, Cummins' shares have ripped higher and widely outperformed the S&P 500 index. The company outpaced the analyst consensus for revenue and diluted EPS in Q3. Cummins' already strong net debt-to-capital ratio marginally improved sequentially. Shares could be priced at an 11% premium to fair value. Cummins appears to be set up for 6% annual total returns by the end of 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 11

Cummins: Paying Up For Improving Fundamentals (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Cummins stock is downgraded to 'hold' due to a 23% stock rise, making its valuation less attractive despite strong business fundamentals. Q3'24 results showed flat revenues but improved EBITDA margins and EPS, driven by favorable pricing and operational improvements. The company's focus on sustainable technologies, like the X15N natural gas engine and the new electrolyzer plant, positions it well for future growth. Risks include cyclical market exposure, global economic uncertainties, and a stretched valuation compared to historical multiples and peers. Valuation seems appropriately priced as the rerating in multiple narrows versus the peer group. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Cummins makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:CMI Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 2633,8942,6733,1291,403
31 Dec 2533,6702,8433,0571,389
30 Sep 2533,5812,6683,0491,400
30 Jun 2533,7202,9413,0541,414
31 Mar 2533,8732,7773,0981,436
31 Dec 2434,1023,9463,1531,461
30 Sep 2434,1982,0973,2371,497
30 Jun 2434,1731,9443,2591,514
31 Mar 2434,0151,9383,2951,519
31 Dec 2334,0657353,3331,500
30 Sep 2333,2922,7973,0371,443
30 Jun 2332,1942,5412,9091,415
31 Mar 2330,1422,5232,6571,330
31 Dec 2228,0742,1512,6571,278
30 Sep 2226,1541,9142,4481,233
30 Jun 2224,7892,0482,2271,151
31 Mar 2224,3141,9462,3101,128
31 Dec 2124,0212,1312,3741,090
03 Oct 2124,0012,2382,2321,057
04 Jul 2123,1512,2052,2351,015
04 Apr 2120,8921,8812,080928
31 Dec 2019,8111,7892,125906
27 Sep 2019,5591,5882,116922
28 Jun 2020,2091,7092,173940
29 Mar 2022,5782,1082,3381,002
31 Dec 1923,5712,2602,4541,001
29 Sep 1924,1192,5392,396974
30 Jun 1924,2942,6092,415961
31 Mar 1924,2052,4792,390929
31 Dec 1823,7712,1412,437902
30 Sep 1823,1211,2882,383866
01 Jul 1822,4631,0492,480850
01 Apr 1821,4099282,413806
31 Dec 1720,4289992,429754
01 Oct 1719,4551,6512,283704
02 Jul 1718,3571,4872,170648
02 Apr 1717,8071,4692,103628
31 Dec 1617,5091,3942,051637
02 Oct 1617,7721,1772,035655
03 Jul 1618,2051,2682,052695
03 Apr 1618,6921,3332,065706
31 Dec 1519,1101,3992,092735
27 Sep 1519,4341,6822,146741
28 Jun 1519,7041,7252,145742

Quality Earnings: CMI has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: CMI's current net profit margins (7.9%) are lower than last year (8.2%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: CMI's earnings have grown by 7.7% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: CMI's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: CMI had negative earnings growth (-3.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Machinery industry average (1.6%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: CMI's Return on Equity (20.8%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 16:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Cummins Inc. is covered by 49 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Luke JunkBaird
Andrew KaplowitzBarclays