Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Simply Wall St
January 05, 2022
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Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the BMV, rising to highs of Mex$16.30 and falling to the lows of Mex$14.24. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Alfa. de's current trading price of Mex$15.22 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Alfa. de’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Alfa. de

Is Alfa. de still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Alfa. de seems to be fairly priced at around 14% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Alfa. de today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth MX$17.76, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Alfa. de’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Alfa. de look like?

BMV:ALFA A Earnings and Revenue Growth January 5th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Alfa. de, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 1.6% in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? ALFA A’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ALFA A, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Alfa. de, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for Alfa. de and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Alfa. de, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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