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Alfa. de BMV:ALFA A Stock Report

Last Price

Mex$14.91

Market Cap

Mex$83.8b

7D

-3.9%

1Y

7.3%

Updated

18 Dec, 2024

Data

Company Financials +

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:ALFA A Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$83.8b

ALFA A Stock Overview

Engages in the petrochemical and synthetic fiber and refrigerated food businesses in Mexico. More details

ALFA A fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 26.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 137.79% per year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 37%

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the MX market


My Notes

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WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts

Tactical Spin-Offs And Sigma's Expansion Into Plant-Based Products Boost Growth And Profitability

Key Takeaways The spin-off and simplified corporate structure could enhance valuation, net margins, and operational efficiencies, notably benefiting Sigma's market leadership. Sigma's revenue growth is driven by strategic acquisitions and diversified income streams, alongside expected EBITDA improvements from operational efficiencies and stable demand.
View narrative
Mex$20.38
FV
27.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
6.95%
Revenue growth p.a.
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1 day ago author updated this narrative

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. Competitors

Grupo KUO. de

BMV:KUO B

Mex$18.6b

Grupo Carso. de

BMV:GCARSO A1

Mex$268.4b

Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina. de

BMV:IDEAL B-1

Mex$110.6b

Grupo Lamosa. de

BMV:LAMOSA *

Mex$39.4b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Alfa. de
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceMex$14.91
52 Week HighMex$16.61
52 Week LowMex$9.94
Beta1.18
1 Month Change-3.87%
3 Month Change8.52%
1 Year Change7.34%
3 Year Change-0.47%
5 Year Change-6.05%
Change since IPO1,618.23%

Recent News & Updates

Is It Time To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Dec 12
Is It Time To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Nov 20
Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Recent updates

Is It Time To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Dec 12
Is It Time To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Nov 20
Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Oct 02
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALFAA) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Sep 10
Alfa S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALFAA) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Sep 08
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Aug 17
Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Not Flying Under The Radar

Jul 05
Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Not Flying Under The Radar

Does Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Mar 31
Does Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Feb 24
Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Dec 12
Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Sep 25
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) A Risky Investment?

Aug 29
Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) A Risky Investment?

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

May 10
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Apr 18
Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Alfa S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:ALFAA) Passed With Ease

Mar 08
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Alfa S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:ALFAA) Passed With Ease

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Feb 21
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Is Alfa S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:ALFAA) A Risky Investment?

Jan 09
Is Alfa S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:ALFAA) A Risky Investment?

Are Investors Undervaluing Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA) By 29%?

Oct 20
Are Investors Undervaluing Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA) By 29%?

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alfa S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:ALFAA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Aug 17
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alfa S. A. B. de C. V (BMV:ALFAA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

When Should You Buy Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Jul 26
When Should You Buy Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Estimating The Fair Value Of Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Jul 04
Estimating The Fair Value Of Alfa, S. A. B. de C. V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Here's Why Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

May 01
Here's Why Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Is There Now An Opportunity In Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Apr 09
Is There Now An Opportunity In Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Estimating The Fair Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Mar 14
Estimating The Fair Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Jan 31
Is Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Using Too Much Debt?

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Jan 05
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Dec 06
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Is Using Debt Extensively

Oct 14
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Is Using Debt Extensively

What Does Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALFAA) Share Price Indicate?

Sep 18
What Does Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALFAA) Share Price Indicate?

Investors Will Want Alfa. de's (BMV:ALFAA) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Aug 17
Investors Will Want Alfa. de's (BMV:ALFAA) Growth In ROCE To Persist

A Look At The Fair Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Jul 27
A Look At The Fair Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Here's Why Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Jun 09
Here's Why Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Should You Think About Buying Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Now?

May 19
Should You Think About Buying Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Now?

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA)

Apr 28
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Alfa. de (BMV:ALFAA)

Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Is Yielding 3.2% - But Is It A Buy?

Mar 31
Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA) Is Yielding 3.2% - But Is It A Buy?

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Mar 13
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALFAA)

Alfa S. A. B. de C. V's (BMV:ALFAA) Stock Price Has Reduced 64% In The Past Five Years

Feb 23
Alfa S. A. B. de C. V's (BMV:ALFAA) Stock Price Has Reduced 64% In The Past Five Years

Shareholder Returns

ALFA AMX IndustrialsMX Market
7D-3.9%-0.3%-1.1%
1Y7.3%-17.6%-12.5%

Return vs Industry: ALFA A exceeded the MX Industrials industry which returned -17.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ALFA A exceeded the MX Market which returned -12.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ALFA A's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ALFA A volatility
ALFA A Average Weekly Movement5.4%
Industrials Industry Average Movement3.2%
Market Average Movement4.0%
10% most volatile stocks in MX Market6.0%
10% least volatile stocks in MX Market2.8%

Stable Share Price: ALFA A's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the MX market.

Volatility Over Time: ALFA A's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of MX stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
197449,612Jorge Cerecedowww.alfa.com.mx

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petrochemical and synthetic fiber and refrigerated food businesses in Mexico. It operates through two segments, Alpek and Sigma. The company manufactures petrochemical and synthetic fiber products, including purified terephtalic acid, polyethylene terephthalate (PET), recycled PET, polypropylene, expandable polystyrene, chemical specialties, and industrial chemicals.

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. Fundamentals Summary

How do Alfa. de's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ALFA A fundamental statistics
Market capMex$83.77b
Earnings (TTM)-Mex$9.85b
Revenue (TTM)Mex$295.81b

0.3x

P/S Ratio

-8.4x

P/E Ratio

Is ALFA A overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ALFA A income statement (TTM)
RevenueMex$295.81b
Cost of RevenueMex$235.58b
Gross ProfitMex$60.23b
Other ExpensesMex$70.08b
Earnings-Mex$9.85b

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-1.77
Gross Margin20.36%
Net Profit Margin-3.33%
Debt/Equity Ratio135.3%

How did ALFA A perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.1%

Current Dividend Yield

-8%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 23:07
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 21 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pablo Duarte de LeónActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Gilberto GarciaBarclays
Jean BrunyBBVA Corporate and Investment Bank