The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that HMM Co.,Ltd (KRX:011200) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is HMMLtd's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that HMMLtd had debt of ₩368.5b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from ₩465.4b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds ₩12t in cash, so it actually has ₩11t net cash.
How Strong Is HMMLtd's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HMMLtd had liabilities of ₩2.01t due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩2.44t due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩12t in cash and ₩1.11t in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₩8.16t more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity is a great indication that HMMLtd's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that HMMLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
It is just as well that HMMLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 84% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine HMMLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While HMMLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, HMMLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 90% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case HMMLtd has ₩11t in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of ₩1.7t, being 90% of its EBIT. So is HMMLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for HMMLtd (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A011200
HMMLtd
An integrated logistics company, provides shipping and logistics services worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.