Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, COMMAX Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:036690) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for COMMAX
What Is COMMAX's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2020 COMMAX had debt of ₩7.70b, up from ₩6.00b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₩4.97b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩2.73b.
A Look At COMMAX's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that COMMAX had liabilities of ₩34.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩4.63b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩4.97b and ₩33.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩819.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This state of affairs indicates that COMMAX's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₩85.4b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
COMMAX's net debt is only 0.34 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 48.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that COMMAX saw its EBIT decline by 7.1% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is COMMAX's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, COMMAX created free cash flow amounting to 2.3% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
Both COMMAX's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that COMMAX is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with COMMAX (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KOSDAQ:A036690
CommaxLtd
COMMAX Co.,Ltd operates in the electronics industry in South Korea.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.