Stock Analysis

We Think You Can Look Beyond Avaco's (KOSDAQ:083930) Lackluster Earnings

KOSDAQ:A083930
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The market for Avaco Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:083930) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

View our latest analysis for Avaco

earnings-and-revenue-history
KOSDAQ:A083930 Earnings and Revenue History March 25th 2024

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Avaco increased the number of shares on issue by 7.9% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Avaco's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Avaco's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Avaco's net profit dropped by 71% per year over the last three years. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 76%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 77% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

In the long term, if Avaco's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Avaco.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

On top of the dilution, we should also consider the ₩1.0b impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Avaco doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Avaco's Profit Performance

Avaco suffered from unusual items which depressed its profit in its last report; if that is not repeated then profit should be higher, all else being equal. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. After taking into account all these factors, we think that Avaco's statutory results are a decent reflection of its underlying earnings power. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Avaco (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Our examination of Avaco has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Avaco is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.