Stock Analysis

Hanmi Pharm (KRX:128940) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

KOSE:A128940
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hanmi Pharm. Co., Ltd. (KRX:128940) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hanmi Pharm

How Much Debt Does Hanmi Pharm Carry?

As you can see below, Hanmi Pharm had ₩854.4b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had ₩145.9b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩708.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A128940 Debt to Equity History February 17th 2021

How Healthy Is Hanmi Pharm's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hanmi Pharm had liabilities of ₩559.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩580.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩145.9b as well as receivables valued at ₩208.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩784.7b.

Since publicly traded Hanmi Pharm shares are worth a total of ₩4.46t, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hanmi Pharm shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.8 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Hanmi Pharm's EBIT was down 59% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hanmi Pharm's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Hanmi Pharm burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Hanmi Pharm's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Hanmi Pharm's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Hanmi Pharm is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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