Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Genic Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:123330) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Genic
How Much Debt Does Genic Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Genic had debt of ₩5.00b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from ₩7.00b over a year. However, it does have ₩593.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩4.41b.
How Strong Is Genic's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Genic had liabilities of ₩15.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩158.3m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩593.3m and ₩9.77b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩5.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Genic shares are worth a total of ₩187.8b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Genic has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.4, its interest cover seems weak, at 0.84. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. We also note that Genic improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive ₩320m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Genic will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Genic saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
While Genic's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow is no better. At least its level of total liabilities gives us reason to be optimistic. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Genic is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Genic you should be aware of, and 3 of them don't sit too well with us.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A123330
Genic
Researches, develops, manufactures, and sells cosmetics and pharmaceuticals in South Korea and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet slight.