Stock Analysis

BCWORLD PHARM (KOSDAQ:200780) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

KOSDAQ:A200780
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that BCWORLD PHARM. Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:200780) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for BCWORLD PHARM

What Is BCWORLD PHARM's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 BCWORLD PHARM had ₩76.3b of debt, an increase on ₩57.8b, over one year. However, it also had ₩12.6b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩63.8b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A200780 Debt to Equity History March 2nd 2021

How Strong Is BCWORLD PHARM's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that BCWORLD PHARM had liabilities of ₩55.5b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩37.2b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩12.6b and ₩14.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩65.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because BCWORLD PHARM is worth ₩147.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 1.5 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.1 hit our confidence in BCWORLD PHARM like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, BCWORLD PHARM saw its EBIT tank 50% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is BCWORLD PHARM's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, BCWORLD PHARM burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both BCWORLD PHARM's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think BCWORLD PHARM has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for BCWORLD PHARM (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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