Stock Analysis

Cell Biotech Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:049960) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

KOSDAQ:A049960
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Most readers would already be aware that Cell Biotech's (KOSDAQ:049960) stock increased significantly by 33% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Cell Biotech's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Cell Biotech

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cell Biotech is:

5.9% = ₩5.9b ÷ ₩101b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every â‚©1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn â‚©0.06 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Cell Biotech's Earnings Growth And 5.9% ROE

When you first look at it, Cell Biotech's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.9%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But then again, Cell Biotech's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 16%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

So, as a next step, we compared Cell Biotech's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
KOSDAQ:A049960 Past Earnings Growth December 14th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Cell Biotech's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Cell Biotech Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 47% (that is, a retention ratio of 53%), the fact that Cell Biotech's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Cell Biotech has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Cell Biotech can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Cell Biotech visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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