Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To AfreecaTV Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:067160) With Shares Advancing 27%

KOSDAQ:A067160
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Despite an already strong run, AfreecaTV Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:067160) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 48%.

Since its price has surged higher, AfreecaTV may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.3x, since almost half of all companies in Korea have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

There hasn't been much to differentiate AfreecaTV's and the market's retreating earnings lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company can turn things around and break free from the broader downward trend in earnings. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for AfreecaTV

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A067160 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AfreecaTV will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as AfreecaTV's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 15%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 75% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 22% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that AfreecaTV is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

AfreecaTV's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that AfreecaTV currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for AfreecaTV that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.