Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hankuk Paper Mfg (KRX:027970) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hankuk Paper Mfg. Co., Ltd (KRX:027970) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hankuk Paper Mfg

How Much Debt Does Hankuk Paper Mfg Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Hankuk Paper Mfg had ₩187.8b of debt, an increase on ₩173.8b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩37.8b, its net debt is less, at about ₩150.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A027970 Debt to Equity History December 10th 2024

How Strong Is Hankuk Paper Mfg's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hankuk Paper Mfg had liabilities of ₩266.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩37.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩37.8b and ₩204.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩60.7b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hankuk Paper Mfg has a market capitalization of ₩144.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hankuk Paper Mfg's debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.7 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Hankuk Paper Mfg actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 380%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hankuk Paper Mfg will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Hankuk Paper Mfg recorded free cash flow of 29% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On our analysis Hankuk Paper Mfg's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its net debt to EBITDA makes us a little nervous about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Hankuk Paper Mfg's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Hankuk Paper Mfg has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KOSE:A027970

Hankuk Paper Mfg

Produces and sells various paper products in South Korea.

Excellent balance sheet and fair value.

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