Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, DAEWON Chemical Co., Ltd. (KRX:024890) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for DAEWON Chemical
What Is DAEWON Chemical's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 DAEWON Chemical had â‚©36.1b of debt, an increase on â‚©34.5b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of â‚©17.2b, its net debt is less, at about â‚©18.9b.
How Strong Is DAEWON Chemical's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that DAEWON Chemical had liabilities of â‚©45.5b due within a year, and liabilities of â‚©10.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had â‚©17.2b in cash and â‚©21.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by â‚©17.4b.
This deficit isn't so bad because DAEWON Chemical is worth â‚©68.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While DAEWON Chemical's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.4) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.1, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even worse, DAEWON Chemical saw its EBIT tank 61% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since DAEWON Chemical will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, DAEWON Chemical recorded free cash flow of 28% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
On the face of it, DAEWON Chemical's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, we think it's fair to say that DAEWON Chemical has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for DAEWON Chemical you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KOSE:A024890
DAEWON Chemical
Manufactures and supplies polyurethane synthetic leather and wallpaper to sporting goods companies in South Korea.
Slight and slightly overvalued.